WD-40 Valuation

Is WDFC undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

0/6

Valuation Score 0/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of WDFC when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: WDFC ($277.62) is trading above our estimate of fair value ($32.98)

Significantly Below Fair Value: WDFC is trading above our estimate of fair value.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for WDFC?

Key metric: As WDFC is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for WDFC. This is calculated by dividing WDFC's market cap by their current earnings.
What is WDFC's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio54.2x
EarningsUS$69.40m
Market CapUS$3.79b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does WDFC's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for WDFC vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average29.1x
SPB Spectrum Brands Holdings
25.1x14.1%US$2.5b
REYN Reynolds Consumer Products
15.8x3.9%US$5.8b
CENT Central Garden & Pet
17.4x12.3%US$2.2b
CLX Clorox
58.3x20.3%US$20.8b
WDFC WD-40
54.2x8.9%US$3.8b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: WDFC is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (54.2x) compared to the peer average (29.1x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does WDFC's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the Global Household Products Industry?

2 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
WDFC 54.2xIndustry Avg. 17.5xNo. of Companies14PE01224364860+
2 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: WDFC is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (54.2x) compared to the Global Household Products industry average (17.4x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is WDFC's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

WDFC PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio54.2x
Fair PE Ratio23.2x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: WDFC is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (54.2x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (23.2x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst WDFC forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$277.62
US$301.00
+8.4%
7.0%US$322.00US$280.00n/a2
Nov ’25US$264.39
US$301.00
+13.8%
7.0%US$322.00US$280.00n/a2
Oct ’25US$257.16
US$276.50
+7.5%
9.6%US$303.00US$250.00n/a2
Sep ’25US$262.84
US$276.50
+5.2%
9.6%US$303.00US$250.00n/a2
Aug ’25US$256.90
US$276.50
+7.6%
9.6%US$303.00US$250.00n/a2
Jul ’25US$216.48
US$284.00
+31.2%
10.2%US$313.00US$255.00n/a2
Jun ’25US$224.69
US$284.00
+26.4%
10.2%US$313.00US$255.00n/a2
May ’25US$226.31
US$282.23
+24.7%
8.4%US$313.00US$255.00n/a3
Apr ’25US$248.90
US$281.50
+13.1%
11.2%US$313.00US$250.00n/a2
Mar ’25US$268.29
US$281.50
+4.9%
11.2%US$313.00US$250.00n/a2
Feb ’25US$261.15
US$281.50
+7.8%
11.2%US$313.00US$250.00n/a2
Jan ’25US$239.07
US$198.00
-17.2%
40.4%US$276.00US$88.00n/a3
Dec ’24US$240.83
US$178.67
-25.8%
39.1%US$258.00US$88.00n/a3
Nov ’24US$212.31
US$178.67
-15.8%
39.1%US$258.00US$88.00US$264.393
Oct ’24US$203.24
US$178.00
-12.4%
38.8%US$256.00US$88.00US$257.163
Sep ’24US$210.80
US$170.00
-19.4%
35.6%US$232.00US$88.00US$262.843
Aug ’24US$230.79
US$170.00
-26.3%
35.6%US$232.00US$88.00US$256.903
Jul ’24US$188.65
US$163.67
-13.2%
35.3%US$228.00US$88.00US$216.483
Jun ’24US$192.11
US$163.67
-14.8%
35.3%US$228.00US$88.00US$224.693
May ’24US$187.36
US$163.67
-12.6%
35.3%US$228.00US$88.00US$226.313
Apr ’24US$178.05
US$156.67
-12.0%
32.1%US$207.00US$88.00US$248.903
Mar ’24US$171.55
US$156.67
-8.7%
32.1%US$207.00US$88.00US$268.293
Feb ’24US$178.12
US$156.67
-12.0%
32.1%US$207.00US$88.00US$261.153
Jan ’24US$161.21
US$161.67
+0.3%
32.5%US$207.00US$88.00US$239.073
Dec ’23US$171.02
US$161.67
-5.5%
32.5%US$207.00US$88.00US$240.833
Nov ’23US$156.19
US$161.67
+3.5%
32.5%US$207.00US$88.00US$212.313

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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