Oddity Tech (ODD): Assessing Valuation Following Strong Guidance and METHODIQ Launch

Oddity Tech (NasdaqGM:ODD) saw heightened attention after reporting higher quarterly sales, raising its full-year revenue guidance, and launching METHODIQ, a new telehealth platform that broadens the company’s reach.

See our latest analysis for Oddity Tech.

While Oddity Tech's latest guidance boost and the launch of METHODIQ sparked fresh momentum this week, reflected in a rapid 15.8% 7-day share price return, investors are still digesting recent volatility. The stock is down nearly 30% over the past quarter and has posted a -7% total shareholder return for the year. Overall, recent gains show renewed market optimism but highlight a mixed stretch for longer-term holders.

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With shares still trading nearly 40% below their analyst price target despite strong top-line growth, investors now face a pivotal question: is Oddity Tech an undervalued disruptor ready to rebound, or has the market already priced in its next wave of innovation?

Most Popular Narrative: 38.8% Undervalued

Compared to Oddity Tech’s most widely followed narrative, the stock’s last close of $43.04 stands well below a calculated fair value of $70.27. This disconnect draws focus to the company’s ambitious expansion plans and strong technology foundations as it eyes future growth.

Sustained investment in proprietary technology platforms (such as ODDITY Labs, computer-vision tech, and mobile app-based compliance/tracking) is establishing strong barriers to entry and positioning Oddity to lead in breakthrough product innovation, facilitating higher operating leverage and expanding net margins as scale increases.

Read the complete narrative.

This is not a typical beauty business forecast. A future profit multiple normally reserved for industry disruptors, bold assumptions on new revenue streams, and aggressive tech bets are all factored in. Want to uncover which high-stakes projections push this fair value far above the current share price? Dive into the complete narrative for the full financial blueprint.

Result: Fair Value of $70.27 (UNDERVALUED)

Have a read of the narrative in full and understand what's behind the forecasts.

However, there are still risks, such as rising customer acquisition costs or slower than expected progress in new markets, that could challenge Oddity Tech’s rebound story.

Find out about the key risks to this Oddity Tech narrative.

Build Your Own Oddity Tech Narrative

If you see the story differently or want to dig into Oddity Tech’s numbers yourself, it takes just a few minutes to shape your own perspective. Do it your way.

A good starting point is our analysis highlighting 4 key rewards investors are optimistic about regarding Oddity Tech.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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