Assessing Oddity Tech (ODD) Valuation As Cautious Commentary And Credit Amendments Stir Uncertainty

Recent commentary on Oddity Tech (NasdaqGM:ODD) has turned more cautious, as fund updates highlight sector softness and concerns around Il Makiage, while fresh credit facility amendments and a new platform launch add moving parts for investors.

See our latest analysis for Oddity Tech.

The recent fund commentary and credit facility update come after a tougher stretch for the stock, with a 30 day share price return of 14.4% decline, a 90 day share price return of 24.7% decline and a 1 year total shareholder return of 26.9% decline. This suggests momentum has been fading as investors reassess growth prospects and risk around Il Makiage and new platforms.

If you are weighing Oddity Tech against other growth stories in tech enabled sectors, it could be worth checking out our 23 top founder-led companies as a way to surface fresh ideas.

With the shares down sharply over the past year but the stock still tied to growth expectations around Il Makiage, SpoiledChild and new platforms, is this weakness setting up a mispricing, or is the market already discounting future growth?

Most Popular Narrative: 48.4% Undervalued

According to NateF, the most followed narrative puts Oddity Tech’s fair value at $58.79 against a last close of $30.32. This frames a wide valuation gap that rests heavily on growth and margin assumptions.

ODDITY Tech has demonstrated strong financials, with a 48% annual sales growth rate over the past three years. It boasts a 20.3% annual pretax profit margin and a 40.2% annual return on equity.

Read the complete narrative.

Curious what kind of revenue expansion and margin profile need to hold for that fair value to stack up? The narrative leans on robust earnings compounding, premium positioning, and a profit profile more often associated with much larger platforms.

Result: Fair Value of $58.79 (UNDERVALUED)

Have a read of the narrative in full and understand what's behind the forecasts.

However, this hinges on ODDITY keeping Il Makiage and SpoiledChild growing while fending off heavy competition in beauty and wellness, as well as managing any AI and data privacy scrutiny.

Find out about the key risks to this Oddity Tech narrative.

Build Your Own Oddity Tech Narrative

If you look at the numbers and come to a different conclusion, or prefer to build your own view from scratch, you can create a full Oddity Tech storyline in just a few minutes by starting with Do it your way.

A good starting point is our analysis highlighting 4 key rewards investors are optimistic about regarding Oddity Tech.

Looking for more investment ideas?

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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