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- NYSE:UHS
Returns On Capital Signal Tricky Times Ahead For Universal Health Services (NYSE:UHS)
To find a multi-bagger stock, what are the underlying trends we should look for in a business? Firstly, we'd want to identify a growing return on capital employed (ROCE) and then alongside that, an ever-increasing base of capital employed. Basically this means that a company has profitable initiatives that it can continue to reinvest in, which is a trait of a compounding machine. However, after briefly looking over the numbers, we don't think Universal Health Services (NYSE:UHS) has the makings of a multi-bagger going forward, but let's have a look at why that may be.
Return On Capital Employed (ROCE): What Is It?
Just to clarify if you're unsure, ROCE is a metric for evaluating how much pre-tax income (in percentage terms) a company earns on the capital invested in its business. Analysts use this formula to calculate it for Universal Health Services:
Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)
0.095 = US$1.1b ÷ (US$14b - US$1.9b) (Based on the trailing twelve months to March 2023).
Therefore, Universal Health Services has an ROCE of 9.5%. On its own that's a low return on capital but it's in line with the industry's average returns of 9.5%.
See our latest analysis for Universal Health Services
In the above chart we have measured Universal Health Services' prior ROCE against its prior performance, but the future is arguably more important. If you're interested, you can view the analysts predictions in our free report on analyst forecasts for the company.
SWOT Analysis for Universal Health Services
- Debt is well covered by earnings.
- Earnings declined over the past year.
- Dividend is low compared to the top 25% of dividend payers in the Healthcare market.
- Annual earnings are forecast to grow for the next 3 years.
- Good value based on P/E ratio compared to estimated Fair P/E ratio.
- Debt is not well covered by operating cash flow.
- Annual earnings are forecast to grow slower than the American market.
What The Trend Of ROCE Can Tell Us
In terms of Universal Health Services' historical ROCE movements, the trend isn't fantastic. Over the last five years, returns on capital have decreased to 9.5% from 13% five years ago. On the other hand, the company has been employing more capital without a corresponding improvement in sales in the last year, which could suggest these investments are longer term plays. It may take some time before the company starts to see any change in earnings from these investments.
The Bottom Line On Universal Health Services' ROCE
In summary, Universal Health Services is reinvesting funds back into the business for growth but unfortunately it looks like sales haven't increased much just yet. And investors may be recognizing these trends since the stock has only returned a total of 35% to shareholders over the last five years. Therefore, if you're looking for a multi-bagger, we'd propose looking at other options.
If you'd like to know more about Universal Health Services, we've spotted 3 warning signs, and 1 of them shouldn't be ignored.
If you want to search for solid companies with great earnings, check out this free list of companies with good balance sheets and impressive returns on equity.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About NYSE:UHS
Universal Health Services
Through its subsidiaries, owns and operates acute care hospitals, and outpatient and behavioral health care facilities.
Very undervalued with proven track record.