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A Look at Select Medical Holdings (SEM) Valuation as Profitability Concerns Drive Investor Caution

Reviewed by Kshitija Bhandaru
Recent analysis has drawn attention to Select Medical Holdings (SEM) after the company reported a return on equity that is well below industry averages, along with a substantial net income decline over five years. Investors are eyeing these trends with understandable caution.
See our latest analysis for Select Medical Holdings.
After a difficult few months, Select Medical Holdings is trading at $12.93. The company has experienced a rough patch marked by a 15% share price decline over the past quarter and a modest total shareholder return of about 0.1% over three years. The recent slide reflects ongoing concerns about earnings momentum, but there is still interest from investors watching for signs of stabilization or a turnaround.
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Given the stock's recent slump and ongoing profit challenges, the question remains: does Select Medical Holdings offer hidden value at current prices, or is the market already factoring in the company's growth outlook?
Most Popular Narrative: 27.5% Undervalued
Bulls have fresh ammunition as the most widely followed narrative sets Select Medical Holdings' fair value at $17.83, which is sharply above its last close at $12.93. This misalignment has the attention of market-watchers hoping for upside if the company's recovery vision comes true.
Increased consolidation of smaller providers and successful execution of joint venture strategies with large health systems position the company to grow market share and network density. This could lead to improved bargaining power, reduced referral source dependency, and more resilient earnings.
Want to know the math and the strategic shifts behind this bullish price target? Analysts are betting on a sharp turnaround powered by accelerating margins and ambitious revenue growth. What bold expectations are fueling the optimism? Find out what's driving the narrative behind this high conviction fair value.
Result: Fair Value of $17.83 (UNDERVALUED)
Have a read of the narrative in full and understand what's behind the forecasts.
However, persistent regulatory pressures and a high debt load remain real challenges that could derail Select Medical Holdings’ path to sustained growth and valuation recovery.
Find out about the key risks to this Select Medical Holdings narrative.
Build Your Own Select Medical Holdings Narrative
If you think there’s a different story to tell or want to explore Select Medical Holdings through your own lens, it’s easy to dive in and build your own perspective in just minutes. Do it your way.
A great starting point for your Select Medical Holdings research is our analysis highlighting 5 key rewards and 2 important warning signs that could impact your investment decision.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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About NYSE:SEM
Select Medical Holdings
Through its subsidiaries, operates critical illness recovery hospitals, rehabilitation hospitals, and outpatient rehabilitation clinics in the United States.
Very undervalued with moderate growth potential.
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