When close to half the companies in the Medical Equipment industry in the United States have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") below 3.2x, you may consider Penumbra, Inc. (NYSE:PEN) as a stock to avoid entirely with its 5.7x P/S ratio. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/S at face value as there may be an explanation why it's so lofty.
See our latest analysis for Penumbra
What Does Penumbra's P/S Mean For Shareholders?
Penumbra certainly has been doing a good job lately as it's been growing revenue more than most other companies. It seems that many are expecting the strong revenue performance to persist, which has raised the P/S. If not, then existing shareholders might be a little nervous about the viability of the share price.
If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on Penumbra.Is There Enough Revenue Growth Forecasted For Penumbra?
The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/S as steep as Penumbra's is when the company's growth is on track to outshine the industry decidedly.
Taking a look back first, we see that the company grew revenue by an impressive 21% last year. Pleasingly, revenue has also lifted 69% in aggregate from three years ago, thanks to the last 12 months of growth. So we can start by confirming that the company has done a great job of growing revenue over that time.
Turning to the outlook, the next three years should generate growth of 14% per annum as estimated by the analysts watching the company. That's shaping up to be materially higher than the 10.0% per year growth forecast for the broader industry.
With this in mind, it's not hard to understand why Penumbra's P/S is high relative to its industry peers. It seems most investors are expecting this strong future growth and are willing to pay more for the stock.
The Final Word
We'd say the price-to-sales ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.
Our look into Penumbra shows that its P/S ratio remains high on the merit of its strong future revenues. It appears that shareholders are confident in the company's future revenues, which is propping up the P/S. Unless these conditions change, they will continue to provide strong support to the share price.
Having said that, be aware Penumbra is showing 2 warning signs in our investment analysis, you should know about.
If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on Penumbra, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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About NYSE:PEN
Penumbra
Designs, develops, manufactures, and markets medical devices in the United States and internationally.
Flawless balance sheet with reasonable growth potential.