Evolent Health, Inc. (NYSE:EVH), might not be a large cap stock, but it saw a significant share price rise of over 20% in the past couple of months on the NYSE. With many analysts covering the mid-cap stock, we may expect any price-sensitive announcements have already been factored into the stock’s share price. However, what if the stock is still a bargain? Let’s examine Evolent Health’s valuation and outlook in more detail to determine if there’s still a bargain opportunity.
Check out our latest analysis for Evolent Health
Is Evolent Health Still Cheap?
Good news, investors! Evolent Health is still a bargain right now. My valuation model shows that the intrinsic value for the stock is $42.32, but it is currently trading at US$32.22 on the share market, meaning that there is still an opportunity to buy now. However, given that Evolent Health’s share is fairly volatile (i.e. its price movements are magnified relative to the rest of the market) this could mean the price can sink lower, giving us another chance to buy in the future. This is based on its high beta, which is a good indicator for share price volatility.
What does the future of Evolent Health look like?
Investors looking for growth in their portfolio may want to consider the prospects of a company before buying its shares. Although value investors would argue that it’s the intrinsic value relative to the price that matter the most, a more compelling investment thesis would be high growth potential at a cheap price. However, with an extremely negative double-digit change in profit expected next year, near-term growth is certainly not a driver of a buy decision. It seems like high uncertainty is on the cards for Evolent Health, at least in the near future.
What This Means For You
Are you a shareholder? Although EVH is currently undervalued, the negative outlook does bring on some uncertainty, which equates to higher risk. I recommend you think about whether you want to increase your portfolio exposure to EVH, or whether diversifying into another stock may be a better move for your total risk and return.
Are you a potential investor? If you’ve been keeping tabs on EVH for some time, but hesitant on making the leap, I recommend you research further into the stock. Given its current undervaluation, now is a great time to make a decision. But keep in mind the risks that come with negative growth prospects in the future.
If you want to dive deeper into Evolent Health, you'd also look into what risks it is currently facing. At Simply Wall St, we found 2 warning signs for Evolent Health and we think they deserve your attention.
If you are no longer interested in Evolent Health, you can use our free platform to see our list of over 50 other stocks with a high growth potential.
Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.
Discover if Evolent Health might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.
Access Free AnalysisHave feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About NYSE:EVH
Evolent Health
Through its subsidiary, Evolent Health LLC, offers specialty care management services in oncology, cardiology, and musculoskeletal markets in the United States.
Undervalued with reasonable growth potential.