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Evolent Health (NYSE:EVH shareholders incur further losses as stock declines 15% this week, taking three-year losses to 68%
If you love investing in stocks you're bound to buy some losers. But the long term shareholders of Evolent Health, Inc. (NYSE:EVH) have had an unfortunate run in the last three years. Sadly for them, the share price is down 68% in that time. And over the last year the share price fell 63%, so we doubt many shareholders are delighted. And the share price decline continued over the last week, dropping some 15%. Importantly, this could be a market reaction to the recently released financial results. You can check out the latest numbers in our company report.
If the past week is anything to go by, investor sentiment for Evolent Health isn't positive, so let's see if there's a mismatch between fundamentals and the share price.
Our free stock report includes 1 warning sign investors should be aware of before investing in Evolent Health. Read for free now.Evolent Health isn't currently profitable, so most analysts would look to revenue growth to get an idea of how fast the underlying business is growing. When a company doesn't make profits, we'd generally hope to see good revenue growth. That's because fast revenue growth can be easily extrapolated to forecast profits, often of considerable size.
In the last three years, Evolent Health saw its revenue grow by 31% per year, compound. That's well above most other pre-profit companies. In contrast, the share price is down 19% compound, over three years - disappointing by most standards. This could mean hype has come out of the stock because the losses are concerning investors. When we see revenue growth, paired with a falling share price, we can't help wonder if there is an opportunity for those who are willing to dig deeper.
You can see below how earnings and revenue have changed over time (discover the exact values by clicking on the image).
It's probably worth noting we've seen significant insider buying in the last quarter, which we consider a positive. On the other hand, we think the revenue and earnings trends are much more meaningful measures of the business. So it makes a lot of sense to check out what analysts think Evolent Health will earn in the future (free profit forecasts).
A Different Perspective
Investors in Evolent Health had a tough year, with a total loss of 63%, against a market gain of about 9.6%. Even the share prices of good stocks drop sometimes, but we want to see improvements in the fundamental metrics of a business, before getting too interested. On the bright side, long term shareholders have made money, with a gain of 4% per year over half a decade. If the fundamental data continues to indicate long term sustainable growth, the current sell-off could be an opportunity worth considering. I find it very interesting to look at share price over the long term as a proxy for business performance. But to truly gain insight, we need to consider other information, too. Take risks, for example - Evolent Health has 1 warning sign we think you should be aware of.
If you like to buy stocks alongside management, then you might just love this free list of companies. (Hint: most of them are flying under the radar).
Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on American exchanges.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About NYSE:EVH
Evolent Health
Through its subsidiary, provides specialty care management services in oncology, cardiology, and musculoskeletal markets in the United States.
Undervalued with concerning outlook.
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