Centene Corporation

NYSE:CNC Stock Report

Market Cap: US$26.5b

Centene Past Earnings Performance

Past criteria checks 0/6

Centene's earnings have been declining at an average annual rate of -32.2%, while the Healthcare industry saw earnings growing at 9.9% annually. Revenues have been growing at an average rate of 8.7% per year.

Key information

-32.20%

Earnings growth rate

-32.85%

EPS growth rate

Healthcare Industry Growth8.50%
Revenue growth rate8.72%
Return on equity-29.97%
Net Margin-3.61%
Next Earnings Update28 Jul 2026

Recent past performance updates

Recent updates

CNC: Policy And Exchange Uncertainty Will Pressure Margins And Constrain Upside

Analysts have trimmed the fair value estimate for Centene to $43.47 from $44.18, reflecting updated views on revenue growth, margin potential, and a lower expected future P/E multiple, even as several recent price target revisions highlight ongoing debate around the stock. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research paints a mixed picture for Centene, with several firms adjusting price targets and ratings as they reassess the company after Q4 results, updated guidance, and regulatory developments.

Centene: Big Comeback Story

Apr 28

CNC: Medicaid Margins In 2026 Will Underpin Future Earnings Power

Centene's updated analyst price targets show only a modest reduction in implied fair value to about $60.51, as analysts factor in slightly better revenue growth and margins while tempering expectations with lower assumed P/E multiples and continued concern about margin pressure and exchange and Medicaid visibility. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Centene points to a mixed backdrop, but with a clear group of bullish analysts highlighting valuation support, execution on margins, and potential growth from policy and rate decisions.

CNC: Government Program Margins In 2026 Will Support Future Earnings Power

Centene's updated analyst price targets show a modest downward reset of about $4 across several firms to a range of roughly $32 to $49, with analysts citing recalibrated valuation multiples, ongoing Medicaid and exchange visibility questions, and mixed readthroughs from recent Q4 results and policy headlines. Analyst Commentary Recent research shows a split view on Centene, with some firms trimming targets and others lifting them, but the common thread is a focus on how Medicaid, exchange membership, and Q4 execution shape the risk and reward profile from here.

CNC: Government Managed Care Recovery In 2026 Will Support Future Earnings Power

Narrative Update Centene's implied fair value estimate has edged lower to about $60.89 from $62.81 as analysts recalibrated price targets. This reflects slightly softer growth and margin assumptions and a mix of recent target cuts and trims in valuation multiples across the group.

CNC: Medicaid And Exchange Uncertainty Will Pressure Margins Despite 2026 EPS Guidance

Analysts have nudged their average price targets for Centene higher into a $43 to $59 range, pointing to margin improvement efforts, potential earnings power across segments, and sector recovery themes, even as they flag ongoing uncertainty around Medicaid and exchange visibility. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Centene shows a mix of optimism around margin potential and earnings power, alongside pointed concerns about execution risks in key government programs.

CNC: Policy Uncertainty And Margin Recovery Prospects Will Shape Balanced Outlook

Analysts have lifted their average price target on Centene by about $3 to roughly $44, citing updated views on fair value, slightly higher expected profit margins and P/E, and ongoing research that points to potential margin recovery in government managed care despite recent CMS related concerns. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Centene reflects a mix of optimism around long term earnings power in government managed care and caution around policy and utilization risks that could affect how quickly that potential is realized.

CNC: CMS Rate Pressure And Medicaid Uncertainty Will Restrain Future Earnings Recovery

Analysts have lifted their price targets on Centene into a US$43 to US$59 range, citing updated views on government managed care earnings potential and recently softer utilization trends, even as broader commentary highlights ongoing policy and Medicaid uncertainty for the sector. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Centene sits against a mixed backdrop for government managed care, with several firms highlighting both potential earnings recovery drivers and ongoing policy and contract risks.

CNC: Government Managed Care Policy Tailwinds Will Support Future Earnings Power

Analysts have lifted their fair value estimate for Centene from about $54.65 to roughly $62.81, citing updated views on discount rates, revenue growth, margins, and future P/E following recent price target hikes and sector commentary around government managed care and the "Great Healthcare Plan." Analyst Commentary Bullish analysts are highlighting a mix of policy tailwinds, product positioning, and company specific execution as reasons to revisit Centene's valuation. Recent research focuses on how government managed care, Medicare Advantage rate discussions, and the "Great Healthcare Plan" could influence earnings power and the multiple investors are willing to pay.

CNC: Marketplace Margin Recovery And Medicaid Pressures Will Shape Balanced Outlook

Analysts have raised their implied fair value estimate for Centene to about US$41 from roughly US$40, reflecting a mix of higher price targets tied to recent earnings beats and margin recovery expectations in Marketplace and Medicaid, partially balanced by concerns around Medicaid trends and contract losses. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Centene reflects a split view, with some analysts focusing on earnings power from margin recovery and others highlighting ongoing risks in Medicaid and selected contracts.

CNC: Medicaid Margin Pressures Will Likely Cap Earnings Recovery Ahead

Analysts have raised their fair value estimate for Centene to $32 from $24, citing improving margin visibility, stronger than expected Q3 results, and a more constructive long term earnings trajectory despite near term Medicaid and contract headwinds. Analyst Commentary Street research following Centene's Q3 earnings has been mixed, with several firms lifting price targets on the back of stronger profitability trends while others caution that EPS visibility remains constrained by Medicaid and Marketplace uncertainties.

CNC: Marketplace And Medicaid Margin Normalization Will Offset Policy And Contract Headwinds

Analysts have modestly raised their price target on Centene to $39.94 from $39.41, citing improved profit margin visibility and expectations for continued EPS growth as Marketplace and Medicaid margins recover, despite lingering near-term Medicaid pressures. Analyst Commentary Street research on Centene has become more polarized, with several bullish analysts lifting price targets into the mid 40s on the back of Q3 outperformance and clearer earnings visibility, while a cohort of more cautious voices highlight lingering Medicaid and Star rating risks that could constrain valuation multiple expansion.

CNC: Margin Recovery In Medicaid And Marketplace Will Drive 2026 Earnings Upside

Centene's analyst price target has increased by $5.59 to $45.00, as analysts expect margin recovery in the Marketplace and Medicaid segments to drive accelerated earnings growth, despite ongoing near-term pressures. Analyst Commentary Recent research coverage of Centene highlights a mix of positive and negative outlooks, with analyst views divided over the company’s near- and medium-term trajectory.

CNC: Medicaid Margin Stability And 26% ACA Premium Hike Will Shape 2026 Prospects

Centene’s analyst price target has been raised from $36 to approximately $39.76 per share. Analysts cite improving Medicaid profitability and stronger earnings guidance as key drivers for the upward revision.

Analysts Lift Centene Price Target on Margin Recovery but Warn of Lasting Sector Headwinds

Centene's analyst fair value target has been increased from $34.63 to $36.00. Analysts highlight improving margin visibility and constructive EPS guidance updates as key factors supporting the upward revision.

Medicaid And Medicare Advantage Will Expand Health Care Access

Centene's analyst price target increased from $33.94 to $34.63, as analysts cited stable EPS guidance, anticipated Medicaid margin improvement, and a constructive outlook for Marketplace rates as supporting factors for the revision. Analyst Commentary Recent analyst research on Centene reflects a full spectrum of perspectives, as experts weigh strong execution signals against ongoing uncertainties in the managed care and healthcare exchange landscape.

Medicaid And Medicare Advantage Will Expand Health Care Access

Centene's modest price target increase reflects mixed analyst sentiment, with optimism around reaffirmed FY25 EPS guidance and Medicaid margin improvements tempered by concerns over ongoing Medicaid and marketplace pressures, regulatory risks, and reduced long-term earnings visibility, resulting in a slight upward revision of fair value to $33.94. Analyst Commentary Bullish analysts cite reaffirmation of FY25 adjusted EPS guidance and constructive commentary on Medicaid margin improvement, ACA Marketplace rate refiling, and Stars performance as supporting recent price target raises.

Centene Corporation's (NYSE:CNC) Price Is Right But Growth Is Lacking After Shares Rocket 30%

Sep 12
Centene Corporation's (NYSE:CNC) Price Is Right But Growth Is Lacking After Shares Rocket 30%

Medicaid And Medicare Advantage Will Expand Health Care Access

Centene’s analyst price target remains at $34.56 as ongoing macro and regulatory uncertainty, elevated Medicaid cost trends, and withdrawn 2025 EPS guidance have driven increased caution and reduced forward earnings visibility. Analyst Commentary Persistent macro uncertainty and regulatory volatility in the healthcare exchange (ACA Marketplace) and Medicaid markets are driving cautious outlooks, especially due to potential disenrollment, risk pool degradation, and rate/trend volatility stemming from legislative changes and the expiration of enhanced APTCs. Centene’s withdrawal of FY2025 EPS guidance, prompted by incorrect Marketplace risk-adjustment assumptions and elevated Medicaid cost trends, has resulted in significant downward revisions to earnings estimates for the next three years.

Why Investors Shouldn't Be Surprised By Centene Corporation's (NYSE:CNC) 38% Share Price Plunge

Jul 03
Why Investors Shouldn't Be Surprised By Centene Corporation's (NYSE:CNC) 38% Share Price Plunge

Centene (NYSE:CNC) Is Doing The Right Things To Multiply Its Share Price

May 15
Centene (NYSE:CNC) Is Doing The Right Things To Multiply Its Share Price

Centene: A Leader In Government-Sponsored Insurance And Its Prospects

Mar 26

Centene Corporation Is Resilient And Will Thrive

Mar 18

Centene: Attractive Risk-Reward For A Growing Company At A Value Price

Jan 02

Centene: Should Have Followed My Original Thesis, But A Buy For Q3 2024

Oct 22

Revenue & Expenses Breakdown

How Centene makes and spends money. Based on latest reported earnings, on an LTM basis.


Earnings and Revenue History

NYSE:CNC Revenue, expenses and earnings (USD Millions)
DateRevenueEarningsG+A ExpensesR&D Expenses
31 Mar 26178,332-6,44412,9040
31 Dec 25176,151-6,67412,8760
30 Sep 25167,285-5,29012,7480
30 Jun 25159,2682,05412,6610
31 Mar 25153,2443,45312,5100
31 Dec 24147,1453,30512,3050
30 Sep 24146,3523,06712,4940
30 Jun 24144,2022,82312,4550
31 Mar 24142,9492,73512,5730
31 Dec 23141,3932,70212,4070
30 Sep 23139,3642,44412,1300
30 Jun 23138,1112,71311,9340
31 Mar 23136,9411,48311,7040
31 Dec 22135,9991,20211,3660
30 Sep 22132,7562,01410,8920
30 Jun 22129,2281,86010,5620
31 Mar 22124,1811,4979,8880
31 Dec 21118,5731,3479,3760
30 Sep 21114,1307369,6570
30 Jun 21111,2847209,9950
31 Mar 21108,1582,46110,4610
31 Dec 20104,2801,80810,2760
30 Sep 2095,7642,0299,5290
30 Jun 2086,5231,5568,3010
31 Mar 2078,1058457,2900
31 Dec 1970,8071,3216,4480
30 Sep 1968,3851,3536,4720
30 Jun 1965,5071,2776,5910
31 Mar 1961,0281,0826,4570
31 Dec 1856,6889006,3310
30 Sep 1852,6188895,7950
30 Jun 1848,6551,0755,1050
31 Mar 1847,2011,0294,7970
31 Dec 1745,8108284,3700
30 Sep 1744,8708534,2670
30 Jun 1743,6467964,3030
31 Mar 1742,4687134,2460
31 Dec 1637,6935623,9000
30 Sep 1632,8394163,2840
30 Jun 1628,0623602,7190
31 Mar 1622,9482772,1520
31 Dec 1521,2923561,9900
30 Sep 1519,8543501,8270
30 Jun 1518,5483391,6990

Quality Earnings: CNC is currently unprofitable.

Growing Profit Margin: CNC is currently unprofitable.


Free Cash Flow vs Earnings Analysis


Past Earnings Growth Analysis

Earnings Trend: CNC is unprofitable, and losses have increased over the past 5 years at a rate of 32.2% per year.

Accelerating Growth: Unable to compare CNC's earnings growth over the past year to its 5-year average as it is currently unprofitable

Earnings vs Industry: CNC is unprofitable, making it difficult to compare its past year earnings growth to the Healthcare industry (17.2%).


Return on Equity

High ROE: CNC has a negative Return on Equity (-29.97%), as it is currently unprofitable.


Return on Assets


Return on Capital Employed


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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2026/05/01 11:08
End of Day Share Price 2026/05/01 00:00
Earnings2026/03/31
Annual Earnings2025/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

Centene Corporation is covered by 34 analysts. 14 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
null nullArgus Research Company
Hua HaBaird
Andrew MokBarclays