Centene Valuation

Is CNC undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

6/6

Valuation Score 6/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of CNC when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: CNC ($59.1) is trading below our estimate of fair value ($272.02)

Significantly Below Fair Value: CNC is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for CNC?

Key metric: As CNC is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for CNC. This is calculated by dividing CNC's market cap by their current earnings.
What is CNC's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio9.7x
EarningsUS$3.07b
Market CapUS$29.19b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does CNC's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for CNC vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average35.1x
HUM Humana
26x11.6%US$33.4b
MOH Molina Healthcare
14.7x14.8%US$16.2b
ELV Elevance Health
14.4x12.7%US$91.4b
HQY HealthEquity
85.1x32.1%US$9.0b
CNC Centene
9.7x4.9%US$29.2b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: CNC is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (9.7x) compared to the peer average (35.1x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does CNC's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Healthcare Industry?

5 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
THC Tenet Healthcare
4.6x-39.2%US$14.58b
NEUE NeueHealth
1.5xn/aUS$40.77m
AMS American Shared Hospital Services
4.9xn/aUS$19.08m
IDXG Interpace Biosciences
2.4xn/aUS$11.77m
CNC 9.7xIndustry Avg. 25.8xNo. of Companies11PE020406080100+
5 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: CNC is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (9.7x) compared to the US Healthcare industry average (25.8x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is CNC's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

CNC PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio9.7x
Fair PE Ratio29.1x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: CNC is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (9.7x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (29.1x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst CNC forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$59.10
US$81.72
+38.3%
10.4%US$95.00US$66.00n/a17
Nov ’25US$63.52
US$83.42
+31.3%
9.7%US$95.00US$66.00n/a17
Oct ’25US$73.94
US$86.19
+16.6%
8.1%US$97.00US$72.00n/a17
Sep ’25US$78.83
US$85.95
+9.0%
8.5%US$98.00US$74.00n/a17
Aug ’25US$77.91
US$84.96
+9.0%
7.9%US$95.00US$74.00n/a17
Jul ’25US$65.34
US$87.52
+33.9%
9.3%US$110.00US$76.00n/a18
Jun ’25US$71.59
US$88.57
+23.7%
9.7%US$110.00US$76.00n/a18
May ’25US$72.25
US$88.02
+21.8%
10.1%US$110.00US$73.30n/a17
Apr ’25US$77.75
US$89.02
+14.5%
10.3%US$110.00US$73.30n/a17
Mar ’25US$77.98
US$88.46
+13.4%
10.0%US$110.00US$73.30n/a16
Feb ’25US$75.30
US$87.22
+15.8%
10.0%US$110.00US$73.30n/a17
Jan ’25US$74.21
US$85.96
+15.8%
9.7%US$110.00US$73.30n/a16
Dec ’24US$74.88
US$83.08
+11.0%
10.8%US$110.00US$72.00n/a16
Nov ’24US$69.32
US$83.12
+19.9%
10.8%US$110.00US$72.00US$63.5216
Oct ’24US$68.88
US$81.55
+18.4%
10.9%US$110.00US$71.00US$73.9418
Sep ’24US$61.27
US$82.21
+34.2%
10.3%US$110.00US$71.00US$78.8319
Aug ’24US$68.01
US$83.48
+22.7%
10.1%US$110.00US$71.00US$77.9119
Jul ’24US$67.45
US$83.86
+24.3%
10.0%US$110.00US$71.00US$65.3420
Jun ’24US$64.94
US$85.01
+30.9%
9.2%US$110.00US$71.00US$71.5919
May ’24US$68.61
US$85.60
+24.8%
10.0%US$110.00US$71.00US$72.2519
Apr ’24US$63.21
US$89.49
+41.6%
11.0%US$110.00US$71.00US$77.7519
Mar ’24US$68.51
US$92.11
+34.4%
9.2%US$110.00US$79.00US$77.9818
Feb ’24US$75.14
US$98.72
+31.4%
7.6%US$110.00US$85.00US$75.3018
Jan ’24US$82.01
US$100.00
+21.9%
8.1%US$115.00US$85.00US$74.2118
Dec ’23US$85.81
US$101.28
+18.0%
6.6%US$115.00US$87.00US$74.8818
Nov ’23US$85.93
US$101.28
+17.9%
6.6%US$115.00US$87.00US$69.3218

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.


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