Stock Analysis

Chemed Corporation's (NYSE:CHE) Business Is Yet to Catch Up With Its Share Price

NYSE:CHE
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Chemed Corporation's (NYSE:CHE) price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 30.3x might make it look like a strong sell right now compared to the market in the United States, where around half of the companies have P/E ratios below 18x and even P/E's below 10x are quite common. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/E at face value as there may be an explanation why it's so lofty.

Chemed certainly has been doing a good job lately as its earnings growth has been positive while most other companies have been seeing their earnings go backwards. The P/E is probably high because investors think the company will continue to navigate the broader market headwinds better than most. If not, then existing shareholders might be a little nervous about the viability of the share price.

View our latest analysis for Chemed

pe-multiple-vs-industry
NYSE:CHE Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry October 29th 2024
Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on Chemed will help you uncover what's on the horizon.

How Is Chemed's Growth Trending?

There's an inherent assumption that a company should far outperform the market for P/E ratios like Chemed's to be considered reasonable.

If we review the last year of earnings growth, the company posted a terrific increase of 32%. The latest three year period has also seen a 5.4% overall rise in EPS, aided extensively by its short-term performance. Therefore, it's fair to say the earnings growth recently has been respectable for the company.

Looking ahead now, EPS is anticipated to climb by 13% during the coming year according to the two analysts following the company. With the market predicted to deliver 15% growth , the company is positioned for a comparable earnings result.

In light of this, it's curious that Chemed's P/E sits above the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are ignoring the fairly average growth expectations and are willing to pay up for exposure to the stock. Although, additional gains will be difficult to achieve as this level of earnings growth is likely to weigh down the share price eventually.

The Final Word

We'd say the price-to-earnings ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.

Our examination of Chemed's analyst forecasts revealed that its market-matching earnings outlook isn't impacting its high P/E as much as we would have predicted. When we see an average earnings outlook with market-like growth, we suspect the share price is at risk of declining, sending the high P/E lower. Unless these conditions improve, it's challenging to accept these prices as being reasonable.

And what about other risks? Every company has them, and we've spotted 1 warning sign for Chemed you should know about.

Of course, you might also be able to find a better stock than Chemed. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.