TransMedics Group, Inc. (NASDAQ:TMDX) Stocks Shoot Up 27% But Its P/S Still Looks Reasonable
Despite an already strong run, TransMedics Group, Inc. (NASDAQ:TMDX) shares have been powering on, with a gain of 27% in the last thirty days. But the gains over the last month weren't enough to make shareholders whole, as the share price is still down 5.4% in the last twelve months.
Since its price has surged higher, you could be forgiven for thinking TransMedics Group is a stock to steer clear of with a price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") of 6.6x, considering almost half the companies in the United States' Medical Equipment industry have P/S ratios below 3.1x. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/S at face value as there may be an explanation why it's so lofty.
We've discovered 2 warning signs about TransMedics Group. View them for free.Check out our latest analysis for TransMedics Group
What Does TransMedics Group's Recent Performance Look Like?
Recent times have been advantageous for TransMedics Group as its revenues have been rising faster than most other companies. It seems the market expects this form will continue into the future, hence the elevated P/S ratio. If not, then existing shareholders might be a little nervous about the viability of the share price.
Keen to find out how analysts think TransMedics Group's future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.Do Revenue Forecasts Match The High P/S Ratio?
The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/S as steep as TransMedics Group's is when the company's growth is on track to outshine the industry decidedly.
Taking a look back first, we see that the company grew revenue by an impressive 83% last year. Spectacularly, three year revenue growth has ballooned by several orders of magnitude, thanks in part to the last 12 months of revenue growth. So we can start by confirming that the company has done a tremendous job of growing revenue over that time.
Shifting to the future, estimates from the nine analysts covering the company suggest revenue should grow by 20% each year over the next three years. That's shaping up to be materially higher than the 9.1% per year growth forecast for the broader industry.
With this information, we can see why TransMedics Group is trading at such a high P/S compared to the industry. It seems most investors are expecting this strong future growth and are willing to pay more for the stock.
The Final Word
Shares in TransMedics Group have seen a strong upwards swing lately, which has really helped boost its P/S figure. Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-sales ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.
As we suspected, our examination of TransMedics Group's analyst forecasts revealed that its superior revenue outlook is contributing to its high P/S. It appears that shareholders are confident in the company's future revenues, which is propping up the P/S. It's hard to see the share price falling strongly in the near future under these circumstances.
Don't forget that there may be other risks. For instance, we've identified 2 warning signs for TransMedics Group that you should be aware of.
If strong companies turning a profit tickle your fancy, then you'll want to check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).
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Discover if TransMedics Group might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.