Stock Analysis

We Think Insulet (NASDAQ:PODD) Is Taking Some Risk With Its Debt

NasdaqGS:PODD
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Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. As with many other companies Insulet Corporation (NASDAQ:PODD) makes use of debt. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?

What Risk Does Debt Bring?

Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.

View our latest analysis for Insulet

How Much Debt Does Insulet Carry?

The chart below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that Insulet had US$1.40b in debt in June 2023; about the same as the year before. On the flip side, it has US$660.1m in cash leading to net debt of about US$737.7m.

debt-equity-history-analysis
NasdaqGS:PODD Debt to Equity History October 1st 2023

A Look At Insulet's Liabilities

We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Insulet had liabilities of US$425.0m falling due within a year, and liabilities of US$1.41b due beyond that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of US$660.1m as well as receivables valued at US$250.5m due within 12 months. So its liabilities total US$921.3m more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.

Since publicly traded Insulet shares are worth a very impressive total of US$11.1b, it seems unlikely that this level of liabilities would be a major threat. Having said that, it's clear that we should continue to monitor its balance sheet, lest it change for the worse.

In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.

Insulet has a rather high debt to EBITDA ratio of 5.2 which suggests a meaningful debt load. However, its interest coverage of 5.0 is reasonably strong, which is a good sign. Importantly, Insulet's EBIT fell a jaw-dropping 39% in the last twelve months. If that earnings trend continues then paying off its debt will be about as easy as herding cats on to a roller coaster. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Insulet's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. So the logical step is to look at the proportion of that EBIT that is matched by actual free cash flow. Over the last three years, Insulet saw substantial negative free cash flow, in total. While investors are no doubt expecting a reversal of that situation in due course, it clearly does mean its use of debt is more risky.

Our View

On the face of it, Insulet's conversion of EBIT to free cash flow left us tentative about the stock, and its EBIT growth rate was no more enticing than the one empty restaurant on the busiest night of the year. But on the bright side, its level of total liabilities is a good sign, and makes us more optimistic. It's also worth noting that Insulet is in the Medical Equipment industry, which is often considered to be quite defensive. Overall, we think it's fair to say that Insulet has enough debt that there are some real risks around the balance sheet. If all goes well, that should boost returns, but on the flip side, the risk of permanent capital loss is elevated by the debt. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. To that end, you should be aware of the 1 warning sign we've spotted with Insulet .

If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.