Stock Analysis

Orchestra BioMed Holdings (NASDAQ:OBIO) Has Debt But No Earnings; Should You Worry?

NasdaqGM:OBIO
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Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. We can see that Orchestra BioMed Holdings, Inc. (NASDAQ:OBIO) does use debt in its business. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.

When Is Debt Dangerous?

Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.

Check out our latest analysis for Orchestra BioMed Holdings

How Much Debt Does Orchestra BioMed Holdings Carry?

As you can see below, Orchestra BioMed Holdings had US$9.60m of debt, at September 2023, which is about the same as the year before. You can click the chart for greater detail. However, its balance sheet shows it holds US$108.9m in cash, so it actually has US$99.3m net cash.

debt-equity-history-analysis
NasdaqGM:OBIO Debt to Equity History March 1st 2024

How Strong Is Orchestra BioMed Holdings' Balance Sheet?

Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Orchestra BioMed Holdings had liabilities of US$21.5m due within 12 months and liabilities of US$15.2m due beyond that. Offsetting this, it had US$108.9m in cash and US$86.0k in receivables that were due within 12 months. So it actually has US$72.2m more liquid assets than total liabilities.

This luscious liquidity implies that Orchestra BioMed Holdings' balance sheet is sturdy like a giant sequoia tree. Having regard to this fact, we think its balance sheet is as strong as an ox. Succinctly put, Orchestra BioMed Holdings boasts net cash, so it's fair to say it does not have a heavy debt load! The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Orchestra BioMed Holdings's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

In the last year Orchestra BioMed Holdings managed to produce its first revenue as a listed company, but given the lack of profit, shareholders will no doubt be hoping to see some strong increases.

So How Risky Is Orchestra BioMed Holdings?

By their very nature companies that are losing money are more risky than those with a long history of profitability. And we do note that Orchestra BioMed Holdings had an earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) loss, over the last year. And over the same period it saw negative free cash outflow of US$44m and booked a US$48m accounting loss. But at least it has US$99.3m on the balance sheet to spend on growth, near-term. Even though its balance sheet seems sufficiently liquid, debt always makes us a little nervous if a company doesn't produce free cash flow regularly. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. These risks can be hard to spot. Every company has them, and we've spotted 4 warning signs for Orchestra BioMed Holdings you should know about.

At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether Orchestra BioMed Holdings is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.