Stock Analysis

iSpecimen Inc. (NASDAQ:ISPC) Might Not Be As Mispriced As It Looks After Plunging 32%

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NasdaqCM:ISPC

Unfortunately for some shareholders, the iSpecimen Inc. (NASDAQ:ISPC) share price has dived 32% in the last thirty days, prolonging recent pain. For any long-term shareholders, the last month ends a year to forget by locking in a 74% share price decline.

Following the heavy fall in price, iSpecimen may be sending buy signals at present with its price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.2x, considering almost half of all companies in the Healthcare Services industry in the United States have P/S ratios greater than 2x and even P/S higher than 5x aren't out of the ordinary. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/S at face value as there may be an explanation why it's limited.

Check out our latest analysis for iSpecimen

NasdaqCM:ISPC Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry September 13th 2024

How iSpecimen Has Been Performing

Recent times haven't been great for iSpecimen as its revenue has been rising slower than most other companies. Perhaps the market is expecting the current trend of poor revenue growth to continue, which has kept the P/S suppressed. If you still like the company, you'd be hoping revenue doesn't get any worse and that you could pick up some stock while it's out of favour.

If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on iSpecimen.

What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The Low P/S?

There's an inherent assumption that a company should underperform the industry for P/S ratios like iSpecimen's to be considered reasonable.

Taking a look back first, we see that the company managed to grow revenues by a handy 3.8% last year. Still, lamentably revenue has fallen 3.0% in aggregate from three years ago, which is disappointing. Accordingly, shareholders would have felt downbeat about the medium-term rates of revenue growth.

Looking ahead now, revenue is anticipated to climb by 14% per annum during the coming three years according to the one analyst following the company. That's shaping up to be materially higher than the 11% each year growth forecast for the broader industry.

With this information, we find it odd that iSpecimen is trading at a P/S lower than the industry. It looks like most investors are not convinced at all that the company can achieve future growth expectations.

What Does iSpecimen's P/S Mean For Investors?

iSpecimen's P/S has taken a dip along with its share price. Using the price-to-sales ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.

To us, it seems iSpecimen currently trades on a significantly depressed P/S given its forecasted revenue growth is higher than the rest of its industry. When we see strong growth forecasts like this, we can only assume potential risks are what might be placing significant pressure on the P/S ratio. It appears the market could be anticipating revenue instability, because these conditions should normally provide a boost to the share price.

There are also other vital risk factors to consider and we've discovered 5 warning signs for iSpecimen (3 are a bit unpleasant!) that you should be aware of before investing here.

If you're unsure about the strength of iSpecimen's business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if iSpecimen might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.