Stock Analysis

Why Investors Shouldn't Be Surprised By ICU Medical, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:ICUI) Low P/S

NasdaqGS:ICUI
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With a price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 1x ICU Medical, Inc. (NASDAQ:ICUI) may be sending very bullish signals at the moment, given that almost half of all the Medical Equipment companies in the United States have P/S ratios greater than 3.1x and even P/S higher than 7x are not unusual. However, the P/S might be quite low for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

Check out our latest analysis for ICU Medical

ps-multiple-vs-industry
NasdaqGS:ICUI Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry April 26th 2024

How ICU Medical Has Been Performing

While the industry has experienced revenue growth lately, ICU Medical's revenue has gone into reverse gear, which is not great. Perhaps the P/S remains low as investors think the prospects of strong revenue growth aren't on the horizon. If this is the case, then existing shareholders will probably struggle to get excited about the future direction of the share price.

If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on ICU Medical.

Do Revenue Forecasts Match The Low P/S Ratio?

ICU Medical's P/S ratio would be typical for a company that's expected to deliver very poor growth or even falling revenue, and importantly, perform much worse than the industry.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered virtually the same number to the company's top line as the year before. Still, the latest three year period has seen an excellent 78% overall rise in revenue, in spite of its uninspiring short-term performance. So while the company has done a solid job in the past, it's somewhat concerning to see revenue growth decline as much as it has.

Shifting to the future, estimates from the five analysts covering the company suggest revenue should grow by 1.9% each year over the next three years. That's shaping up to be materially lower than the 10% per annum growth forecast for the broader industry.

With this in consideration, its clear as to why ICU Medical's P/S is falling short industry peers. Apparently many shareholders weren't comfortable holding on while the company is potentially eyeing a less prosperous future.

The Final Word

It's argued the price-to-sales ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.

We've established that ICU Medical maintains its low P/S on the weakness of its forecast growth being lower than the wider industry, as expected. Right now shareholders are accepting the low P/S as they concede future revenue probably won't provide any pleasant surprises. The company will need a change of fortune to justify the P/S rising higher in the future.

Having said that, be aware ICU Medical is showing 2 warning signs in our investment analysis, and 1 of those can't be ignored.

If companies with solid past earnings growth is up your alley, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies with strong earnings growth and low P/E ratios.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether ICU Medical is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.