Stock Analysis

Unpleasant Surprises Could Be In Store For Forian Inc.'s (NASDAQ:FORA) Shares

NasdaqCM:FORA
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Forian Inc.'s (NASDAQ:FORA) price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 4.4x may look like a poor investment opportunity when you consider close to half the companies in the Healthcare Services industry in the United States have P/S ratios below 2.2x. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/S at face value as there may be an explanation why it's so lofty.

View our latest analysis for Forian

ps-multiple-vs-industry
NasdaqCM:FORA Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry April 3rd 2024

What Does Forian's Recent Performance Look Like?

Recent times have been advantageous for Forian as its revenues have been rising faster than most other companies. It seems that many are expecting the strong revenue performance to persist, which has raised the P/S. However, if this isn't the case, investors might get caught out paying too much for the stock.

Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on Forian will help you uncover what's on the horizon.

Is There Enough Revenue Growth Forecasted For Forian?

Forian's P/S ratio would be typical for a company that's expected to deliver very strong growth, and importantly, perform much better than the industry.

Taking a look back first, we see that the company grew revenue by an impressive 25% last year. Spectacularly, three year revenue growth has ballooned by several orders of magnitude, thanks in part to the last 12 months of revenue growth. Accordingly, shareholders would have been over the moon with those medium-term rates of revenue growth.

Turning to the outlook, the next year should generate growth of 13% as estimated by the two analysts watching the company. With the industry predicted to deliver 13% growth , the company is positioned for a comparable revenue result.

With this information, we find it interesting that Forian is trading at a high P/S compared to the industry. It seems most investors are ignoring the fairly average growth expectations and are willing to pay up for exposure to the stock. These shareholders may be setting themselves up for disappointment if the P/S falls to levels more in line with the growth outlook.

What Does Forian's P/S Mean For Investors?

Using the price-to-sales ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.

Seeing as its revenues are forecast to grow in line with the wider industry, it would appear that Forian currently trades on a higher than expected P/S. Right now we are uncomfortable with the relatively high share price as the predicted future revenues aren't likely to support such positive sentiment for long. A positive change is needed in order to justify the current price-to-sales ratio.

It is also worth noting that we have found 4 warning signs for Forian (1 doesn't sit too well with us!) that you need to take into consideration.

Of course, profitable companies with a history of great earnings growth are generally safer bets. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether Forian is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.