Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. We can see that DexCom, Inc. (NASDAQ:DXCM) does use debt in its business. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?
When Is Debt A Problem?
Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.
Our analysis indicates that DXCM is potentially overvalued!
How Much Debt Does DexCom Carry?
As you can see below, at the end of September 2022, DexCom had US$1.97b of debt, up from US$1.70b a year ago. Click the image for more detail. But it also has US$2.37b in cash to offset that, meaning it has US$403.1m net cash.
A Look At DexCom's Liabilities
According to the last reported balance sheet, DexCom had liabilities of US$900.5m due within 12 months, and liabilities of US$2.17b due beyond 12 months. Offsetting this, it had US$2.37b in cash and US$597.1m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by US$105.7m.
Having regard to DexCom's size, it seems that its liquid assets are well balanced with its total liabilities. So it's very unlikely that the US$43.6b company is short on cash, but still worth keeping an eye on the balance sheet. Despite its noteworthy liabilities, DexCom boasts net cash, so it's fair to say it does not have a heavy debt load!
Importantly, DexCom's EBIT fell a jaw-dropping 23% in the last twelve months. If that decline continues then paying off debt will be harder than selling foie gras at a vegan convention. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine DexCom's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.
Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. While DexCom has net cash on its balance sheet, it's still worth taking a look at its ability to convert earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, to help us understand how quickly it is building (or eroding) that cash balance. Over the most recent three years, DexCom recorded free cash flow worth 70% of its EBIT, which is around normal, given free cash flow excludes interest and tax. This cold hard cash means it can reduce its debt when it wants to.
Summing Up
While it is always sensible to look at a company's total liabilities, it is very reassuring that DexCom has US$403.1m in net cash. And it impressed us with free cash flow of US$261m, being 70% of its EBIT. So we are not troubled with DexCom's debt use. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. Be aware that DexCom is showing 1 warning sign in our investment analysis , you should know about...
If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About NasdaqGS:DXCM
DexCom
A medical device company, focuses on the design, development, and commercialization of continuous glucose monitoring (CGM) systems in the United States and internationally.
Flawless balance sheet with solid track record.