Stock Analysis

Positive Sentiment Still Eludes Cosmos Health Inc. (NASDAQ:COSM) Following 26% Share Price Slump

NasdaqCM:COSM
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The Cosmos Health Inc. (NASDAQ:COSM) share price has softened a substantial 26% over the previous 30 days, handing back much of the gains the stock has made lately. The drop over the last 30 days has capped off a tough year for shareholders, with the share price down 27% in that time.

Following the heavy fall in price, considering around half the companies operating in the United States' Healthcare industry have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") above 1.2x, you may consider Cosmos Health as an solid investment opportunity with its 0.4x P/S ratio. However, the P/S might be low for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

View our latest analysis for Cosmos Health

ps-multiple-vs-industry
NasdaqCM:COSM Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry August 16th 2024

How Has Cosmos Health Performed Recently?

With revenue growth that's inferior to most other companies of late, Cosmos Health has been relatively sluggish. Perhaps the market is expecting the current trend of poor revenue growth to continue, which has kept the P/S suppressed. If you still like the company, you'd be hoping revenue doesn't get any worse and that you could pick up some stock while it's out of favour.

Keen to find out how analysts think Cosmos Health's future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.

How Is Cosmos Health's Revenue Growth Trending?

In order to justify its P/S ratio, Cosmos Health would need to produce sluggish growth that's trailing the industry.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered a decent 6.0% gain to the company's revenues. However, this wasn't enough as the latest three year period has seen an unpleasant 3.7% overall drop in revenue. Accordingly, shareholders would have felt downbeat about the medium-term rates of revenue growth.

Shifting to the future, estimates from the sole analyst covering the company suggest revenue should grow by 20% over the next year. With the industry only predicted to deliver 7.7%, the company is positioned for a stronger revenue result.

With this information, we find it odd that Cosmos Health is trading at a P/S lower than the industry. Apparently some shareholders are doubtful of the forecasts and have been accepting significantly lower selling prices.

The Key Takeaway

Cosmos Health's recently weak share price has pulled its P/S back below other Healthcare companies. Using the price-to-sales ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.

To us, it seems Cosmos Health currently trades on a significantly depressed P/S given its forecasted revenue growth is higher than the rest of its industry. The reason for this depressed P/S could potentially be found in the risks the market is pricing in. It appears the market could be anticipating revenue instability, because these conditions should normally provide a boost to the share price.

We don't want to rain on the parade too much, but we did also find 5 warning signs for Cosmos Health (2 are a bit unpleasant!) that you need to be mindful of.

If strong companies turning a profit tickle your fancy, then you'll want to check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.