Acadia Healthcare (ACHC): Assessing Valuation After Recent Share Price Rebound

Acadia Healthcare Company (ACHC) shares have climbed nearly 3% in the past day, catching the attention of investors. The steady upward movement over the past month suggests growing optimism as the company’s recent results continue to generate interest.

See our latest analysis for Acadia Healthcare Company.

The recent 15% jump in Acadia Healthcare Company’s share price over the past month comes after a tough year, with the 1-year total shareholder return still deep in the red at nearly -51%. While the latest momentum hints that sentiment may be shifting, it is clear long-term holders have felt more pain than gain. Investors will be watching closely to see if this rebound can build into a lasting turnaround.

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With shares still trading well below last year’s levels despite recent gains, investors now face a crucial question: is Acadia Healthcare still undervalued at today’s price, or is the market already factoring in a recovery?

Most Popular Narrative: 10.5% Undervalued

With Acadia Healthcare's fair value pegged at $30.43 by the most widely followed narrative, shares last closed at $27.23, presenting a meaningful discount that has caught the market’s attention. The compelling argument behind this narrative centers on how expansion plans and operational efficiencies could unlock significant value for investors.

Accelerated facility development, opening beds ahead of schedule, joint ventures with large healthcare systems, and ongoing expansion in high-demand lines (comprehensive treatment centers, specialty care) should fuel multiyear top-line growth and operational leverage, positively impacting revenue and earnings as new facilities ramp up.

Read the complete narrative.

Ever wonder what’s driving this bullish outlook? The narrative’s projections depend on bold profit growth, bigger margins, and a future multiple that could surprise many. The full story reveals which key assumptions make or break the math—are they realistic or too optimistic? Get the details that could shift your perspective on this stock’s true worth.

Result: Fair Value of $30.43 (UNDERVALUED)

Have a read of the narrative in full and understand what's behind the forecasts.

However, persistent Medicaid headwinds and ongoing facility-specific challenges could quickly undermine this bullish view if improvement efforts stall or if new policy hurdles emerge.

Find out about the key risks to this Acadia Healthcare Company narrative.

Build Your Own Acadia Healthcare Company Narrative

If you want to dig into the numbers yourself and come to your own conclusions, it only takes a few minutes to build a custom view. Do it your way

A great starting point for your Acadia Healthcare Company research is our analysis highlighting 3 key rewards and 1 important warning sign that could impact your investment decision.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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