Pernod Ricard Valuation

Is PRND.Y undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

4/6

Valuation Score 4/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of PRND.Y when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: PRND.Y ($21.82) is trading below our estimate of fair value ($45.21)

Significantly Below Fair Value: PRND.Y is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for PRND.Y?

Key metric: As PRND.Y is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for PRND.Y. This is calculated by dividing PRND.Y's market cap by their current earnings.
What is PRND.Y's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio18.2x
Earnings€1.48b
Market Cap€26.80b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does PRND.Y's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for PRND.Y vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average33.3x
BF.B Brown-Forman
19.8x3.4%US$19.5b
STZ Constellation Brands
75.1x31.8%US$43.5b
NAPA Duckhorn Portfolio
28.9x28.1%US$1.6b
MGPI MGP Ingredients
9.4x-3.8%US$998.9m
PRND.Y Pernod Ricard
18.2x9.3%US$26.8b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: PRND.Y is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (18.2x) compared to the peer average (33.3x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does PRND.Y's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the North American Beverage Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
PRND.Y 18.2xIndustry Avg. 17.7xNo. of Companies4PE020406080100+
0 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: PRND.Y is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (18.2x) compared to the Global Beverage industry average (17.7x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is PRND.Y's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

PRND.Y PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio18.2x
Fair PE Ratio24.3x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: PRND.Y is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (18.2x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (24.3x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

Analyst Forecast: Insufficient data to show price forecast.


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