Asahi Group Holdings, Ltd.

OTCPK:ASBR.F Stock Report

Market Cap: US$15.8b

Asahi Group Holdings Valuation

Is ASBR.F undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

5/6

Valuation Score 5/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of ASBR.F when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: ASBR.F ($10.35) is trading below our estimate of fair value ($29.07)

Significantly Below Fair Value: ASBR.F is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for ASBR.F?

Key metric: As ASBR.F is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for ASBR.F. This is calculated by dividing ASBR.F's market cap by their current earnings.
What is ASBR.F's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio13.9x
EarningsJP¥174.64b
Market CapJP¥2.45t

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does ASBR.F's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for ASBR.F vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average22.9x
TAP Molson Coors Beverage
13.3x3.3%US$12.5b
SAM Boston Beer Company
43.7x19.4%US$3.5b
KOF Coca-Cola FEMSA. de
15.4x12.1%US$16.4b
BF.B Brown-Forman
19.5x3.4%US$19.0b
ASBR.F Asahi Group Holdings
13.9x6.9%US$2.4t

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: ASBR.F is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (13.9x) compared to the peer average (22.9x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does ASBR.F's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the North American Beverage Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
ASBR.F 13.9xIndustry Avg. 17.9xNo. of Companies3PE01632486480+
0 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: ASBR.F is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (13.9x) compared to the Global Beverage industry average (17.9x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is ASBR.F's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

ASBR.F PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio13.9x
Fair PE Ration/a

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate ASBR.F's Price-To-Earnings Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst ASBR.F forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$10.35
US$15.25
+47.4%
7.2%US$17.45US$13.58n/a13
Nov ’25n/a
US$15.56
0%
6.7%US$17.69US$14.42n/a13
Oct ’25US$14.10
US$16.50
+17.0%
7.0%US$19.02US$15.31n/a13
Sep ’25n/a
US$15.98
0%
6.1%US$18.70US$15.05n/a13
Aug ’25n/a
US$15.51
0%
6.1%US$18.25US$14.69n/a13
Jul ’25n/a
US$14.40
0%
6.0%US$16.72US$13.62n/a12
Jun ’25n/a
US$14.64
0%
5.4%US$16.91US$13.95n/a13
May ’25n/a
US$14.65
0%
6.0%US$17.01US$13.99n/a13
Apr ’25n/a
US$15.05
0%
6.1%US$17.39US$14.31n/a12
Mar ’25US$11.42
US$15.02
+31.6%
6.3%US$17.57US$14.01n/a13
Feb ’25n/a
US$15.29
0%
7.4%US$18.29US$14.23n/a13
Jan ’25n/a
US$15.74
0%
7.5%US$18.89US$14.93n/a13
Dec ’24n/a
US$15.27
0%
7.7%US$18.33US$14.48n/a13
Nov ’24US$11.54
US$14.98
+29.8%
8.5%US$18.24US$14.23n/a13
Oct ’24n/a
US$14.90
0%
7.0%US$18.04US$13.64US$14.1011
Sep ’24n/a
US$14.91
0%
6.3%US$17.65US$13.75n/a12
Aug ’24US$12.72
US$15.16
+19.2%
6.7%US$17.87US$13.64n/a12
Jul ’24US$12.98
US$15.08
+16.2%
5.8%US$17.14US$13.62n/a12
Jun ’24n/a
US$14.70
0%
8.7%US$17.53US$12.49n/a11
May ’24US$13.08
US$14.67
+12.1%
10.7%US$18.33US$12.56n/a12
Apr ’24US$12.25
US$14.83
+21.1%
10.9%US$18.64US$12.77n/a12
Mar ’24n/a
US$14.04
0%
14.5%US$17.87US$10.53US$11.4214
Feb ’24n/a
US$14.53
0%
16.3%US$18.95US$11.01n/a14
Jan ’24US$10.17
US$14.28
+40.4%
15.0%US$18.56US$12.04n/a15
Dec ’23US$10.61
US$13.83
+30.3%
14.5%US$17.77US$11.53n/a15
Nov ’23US$9.42
US$12.97
+37.8%
13.8%US$16.25US$10.84US$11.5415

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.

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