Stock Analysis

Constellation Brands (NYSE:STZ) Hasn't Managed To Accelerate Its Returns

NYSE:STZ
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Did you know there are some financial metrics that can provide clues of a potential multi-bagger? Firstly, we'll want to see a proven return on capital employed (ROCE) that is increasing, and secondly, an expanding base of capital employed. If you see this, it typically means it's a company with a great business model and plenty of profitable reinvestment opportunities. Although, when we looked at Constellation Brands (NYSE:STZ), it didn't seem to tick all of these boxes.

Understanding Return On Capital Employed (ROCE)

If you haven't worked with ROCE before, it measures the 'return' (pre-tax profit) a company generates from capital employed in its business. Analysts use this formula to calculate it for Constellation Brands:

Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)

0.13 = US$2.9b ÷ (US$25b - US$3.0b) (Based on the trailing twelve months to February 2023).

Therefore, Constellation Brands has an ROCE of 13%. That's a relatively normal return on capital, and it's around the 15% generated by the Beverage industry.

View our latest analysis for Constellation Brands

roce
NYSE:STZ Return on Capital Employed May 22nd 2023

In the above chart we have measured Constellation Brands' prior ROCE against its prior performance, but the future is arguably more important. If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report for Constellation Brands.

SWOT Analysis for Constellation Brands

Strength
  • Debt is well covered by earnings and cashflows.
Weakness
  • Dividend is low compared to the top 25% of dividend payers in the Beverage market.
Opportunity
  • Expected to breakeven next year.
  • Has sufficient cash runway for more than 3 years based on current free cash flows.
  • Current share price is below our estimate of fair value.
Threat
  • Paying a dividend but company is unprofitable.

What Does the ROCE Trend For Constellation Brands Tell Us?

Things have been pretty stable at Constellation Brands, with its capital employed and returns on that capital staying somewhat the same for the last five years. Businesses with these traits tend to be mature and steady operations because they're past the growth phase. With that in mind, unless investment picks up again in the future, we wouldn't expect Constellation Brands to be a multi-bagger going forward.

What We Can Learn From Constellation Brands' ROCE

In summary, Constellation Brands isn't compounding its earnings but is generating stable returns on the same amount of capital employed. And investors may be recognizing these trends since the stock has only returned a total of 17% to shareholders over the last five years. So if you're looking for a multi-bagger, the underlying trends indicate you may have better chances elsewhere.

On a separate note, we've found 2 warning signs for Constellation Brands you'll probably want to know about.

While Constellation Brands isn't earning the highest return, check out this free list of companies that are earning high returns on equity with solid balance sheets.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether Constellation Brands is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

View the Free Analysis

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.