The Duckhorn Portfolio, Inc.

NYSE:NAPA Stock Report

Market Cap: US$1.6b

This company has been acquired

The company may no longer be operating, as it has been acquired. Find out why through their latest events.

Duckhorn Portfolio Valuation

Is NAPA undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

3/6

Valuation Score 3/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of NAPA when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: NAPA ($11.09) is trading below our estimate of fair value ($13.49)

Significantly Below Fair Value: NAPA is trading below fair value, but not by a significant amount.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for NAPA?

Key metric: As NAPA is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for NAPA. This is calculated by dividing NAPA's market cap by their current earnings.
What is NAPA's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio31.6x
EarningsUS$51.64m
Market CapUS$1.64b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does NAPA's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for NAPA vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average56.5x
MGPI MGP Ingredients
8.1x-4.9%US$866.9m
BF.B Brown-Forman
18.3x3.7%US$18.2b
CWGL Crimson Wine Group
129.8xn/aUS$131.2m
STZ Constellation Brands
69.8x34.2%US$40.4b
NAPA Duckhorn Portfolio
31.6x35.6%US$1.6b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: NAPA is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (31.6x) compared to the peer average (57.5x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does NAPA's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Beverage Industry?

2 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
ASII Accredited Solutions
0.4xn/aUS$1.06m
VWES.Q Vintage Wine Estates
n/an/aUS$59.00
No more companies available in this PE range
NAPA 31.6xIndustry Avg. 17.9xNo. of Companies3PE01632486480+
2 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: NAPA is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (31.6x) compared to the Global Beverage industry average (18.2x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is NAPA's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

NAPA PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio31.6x
Fair PE Ratio34.7x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: NAPA is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (31.6x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (34.7x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst NAPA forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$11.09
US$11.22
+1.2%
3.5%US$12.00US$11.00n/a5
Dec ’25US$11.00
US$11.22
+2.0%
3.5%US$12.00US$11.00n/a5
Nov ’25US$10.97
US$11.22
+2.3%
3.5%US$12.00US$11.00n/a5
Oct ’25US$5.62
US$9.57
+70.3%
17.5%US$12.00US$7.00n/a7
Sep ’25US$6.33
US$9.63
+52.1%
16.4%US$12.00US$7.00n/a8
Aug ’25US$7.09
US$9.63
+35.8%
16.4%US$12.00US$7.00n/a8
Jul ’25US$7.02
US$9.67
+37.7%
15.4%US$12.00US$7.00n/a9
Jun ’25US$8.07
US$9.89
+22.5%
15.4%US$12.00US$7.00n/a9
May ’25US$7.70
US$10.67
+38.5%
22.1%US$15.00US$7.00n/a9
Apr ’25US$9.09
US$11.44
+25.9%
18.0%US$15.00US$8.00n/a9
Mar ’25US$9.57
US$12.61
+31.8%
19.0%US$17.00US$8.00n/a9
Feb ’25US$8.97
US$13.17
+46.8%
18.3%US$19.00US$11.00n/a9
Jan ’25US$9.85
US$13.17
+33.7%
18.3%US$19.00US$11.00n/a9
Dec ’24US$10.42
US$14.67
+40.8%
15.4%US$19.00US$12.00US$11.009
Nov ’24US$10.37
US$15.00
+44.6%
14.9%US$19.00US$12.00US$10.978
Oct ’24US$10.26
US$15.25
+48.6%
13.0%US$19.00US$12.00US$5.628
Sep ’24US$12.22
US$19.00
+55.5%
11.3%US$23.00US$16.00US$6.337
Aug ’24US$12.46
US$19.29
+54.8%
11.0%US$23.00US$16.00US$7.097
Jul ’24US$12.97
US$19.43
+49.8%
9.9%US$23.00US$17.00US$7.027
Jun ’24US$13.24
US$19.75
+49.2%
8.7%US$23.00US$17.00US$8.078
May ’24US$15.30
US$19.75
+29.1%
8.7%US$23.00US$17.00US$7.708
Apr ’24US$15.90
US$19.78
+24.4%
8.2%US$23.00US$17.00US$9.099
Mar ’24US$14.80
US$19.89
+34.4%
7.7%US$23.00US$17.00US$9.579
Feb ’24US$16.59
US$19.89
+19.9%
7.7%US$23.00US$17.00US$8.979
Jan ’24US$16.57
US$19.89
+20.0%
7.7%US$23.00US$17.00US$9.859
Dec ’23US$16.07
US$19.22
+19.6%
9.4%US$23.00US$17.00US$10.429

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2024/12/23 16:28
End of Day Share Price 2024/12/23 00:00
Earnings2024/10/31
Annual Earnings2024/07/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

The Duckhorn Portfolio, Inc. is covered by 13 analysts. 3 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Lauren LiebermanBarclays
Lauren LiebermanBarclays
Andrew StrelzikBMO Capital Markets Equity Research