Stock Analysis

Lamb Weston Holdings, Inc. (NYSE:LW) Looks Inexpensive But Perhaps Not Attractive Enough

NYSE:LW
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Lamb Weston Holdings, Inc.'s (NYSE:LW) price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 11.5x might make it look like a buy right now compared to the market in the United States, where around half of the companies have P/E ratios above 17x and even P/E's above 32x are quite common. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/E at face value as there may be an explanation why it's limited.

Lamb Weston Holdings certainly has been doing a good job lately as its earnings growth has been positive while most other companies have been seeing their earnings go backwards. It might be that many expect the strong earnings performance to degrade substantially, possibly more than the market, which has repressed the P/E. If not, then existing shareholders have reason to be quite optimistic about the future direction of the share price.

Check out our latest analysis for Lamb Weston Holdings

pe-multiple-vs-industry
NYSE:LW Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry June 12th 2024
If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on Lamb Weston Holdings.

Is There Any Growth For Lamb Weston Holdings?

The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/E as low as Lamb Weston Holdings' is when the company's growth is on track to lag the market.

If we review the last year of earnings growth, the company posted a terrific increase of 101%. The strong recent performance means it was also able to grow EPS by 343% in total over the last three years. Accordingly, shareholders would have probably welcomed those medium-term rates of earnings growth.

Turning to the outlook, the next three years should bring diminished returns, with earnings decreasing 2.6% per annum as estimated by the eleven analysts watching the company. That's not great when the rest of the market is expected to grow by 10% each year.

With this information, we are not surprised that Lamb Weston Holdings is trading at a P/E lower than the market. Nonetheless, there's no guarantee the P/E has reached a floor yet with earnings going in reverse. There's potential for the P/E to fall to even lower levels if the company doesn't improve its profitability.

The Bottom Line On Lamb Weston Holdings' P/E

We'd say the price-to-earnings ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.

As we suspected, our examination of Lamb Weston Holdings' analyst forecasts revealed that its outlook for shrinking earnings is contributing to its low P/E. At this stage investors feel the potential for an improvement in earnings isn't great enough to justify a higher P/E ratio. Unless these conditions improve, they will continue to form a barrier for the share price around these levels.

It's always necessary to consider the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 3 warning signs with Lamb Weston Holdings (at least 1 which is concerning), and understanding these should be part of your investment process.

Of course, you might find a fantastic investment by looking at a few good candidates. So take a peek at this free list of companies with a strong growth track record, trading on a low P/E.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether Lamb Weston Holdings is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

View the Free Analysis

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.