Stock Analysis

Did Mixed Q2 2025 Results Just Shift Coca-Cola FEMSA's (KOF) Investment Narrative?

NYSE:KOF
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  • Coca-Cola FEMSA released its second quarter 2025 earnings, reporting sales of MX$72.85 billion and net income of MX$5.31 billion, with revenue and sales both higher than the prior year but net income slightly lower.
  • While revenue gains signaled continued demand, the net income decrease highlighted ongoing operational and cost pressures during the period.
  • We'll explore how the combination of rising sales and softer net income influences Coca-Cola FEMSA's investment outlook and future growth narrative.

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Coca-Cola FEMSA. de Investment Narrative Recap

To invest in Coca-Cola FEMSA, one needs to have confidence in the company's ability to translate its scale and reach in Latin America into sustained sales growth despite regional economic headwinds and margin pressures. The latest earnings report shows higher revenue but softer net income, signaling that while the main short-term catalyst, top-line growth, remains intact, the core risk of shrinking margins due to higher costs has not subsided in a meaningful way.

Among the recent company announcements, the quarterly dividend declaration on July 7 is particularly relevant in this context. While ongoing shareholder returns reinforce management's commitment, they come at a time when operational costs are tempering profit growth, highlighting the balance the company must strike between rewarding investors and protecting margins.

In contrast, there’s an important consideration for investors around margin pressures and operational expenses that could impact future earnings if left unchecked...

Read the full narrative on Coca-Cola FEMSA. de (it's free!)

Coca-Cola FEMSA. de's outlook anticipates MX$350.2 billion in revenue and MX$31.8 billion in earnings by 2028. This scenario is based on a 7.0% annual revenue growth rate and an earnings increase of MX$7.9 billion from current earnings of MX$23.9 billion.

Uncover how Coca-Cola FEMSA. de's forecasts yield a $112.18 fair value, a 29% upside to its current price.

Exploring Other Perspectives

KOF Community Fair Values as at Jul 2025
KOF Community Fair Values as at Jul 2025

Eight Simply Wall St Community members estimate KOF's fair value between US$77.49 and US$195.09. While views differ widely, the ongoing challenge of margin compression may weigh on how the market values future profitability.

Explore 8 other fair value estimates on Coca-Cola FEMSA. de - why the stock might be worth over 2x more than the current price!

Build Your Own Coca-Cola FEMSA. de Narrative

Disagree with existing narratives? Create your own in under 3 minutes - extraordinary investment returns rarely come from following the herd.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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About NYSE:KOF

Coca-Cola FEMSA. de

A franchise bottler, produces, markets, sells, and distributes Coca-Cola trademark beverages in Mexico, Guatemala, Nicaragua, Costa Rica, Panama, Colombia, Brazil, Argentina, and Uruguay.

Undervalued with excellent balance sheet and pays a dividend.

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