Stock Analysis

Hormel Foods' (NYSE:HRL) Shareholders Will Receive A Bigger Dividend Than Last Year

NYSE:HRL
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Hormel Foods Corporation's (NYSE:HRL) dividend will be increasing from last year's payment of the same period to $0.2825 on 15th of February. Based on this payment, the dividend yield for the company will be 3.6%, which is fairly typical for the industry.

See our latest analysis for Hormel Foods

Hormel Foods' Earnings Easily Cover The Distributions

We like to see a healthy dividend yield, but that is only helpful to us if the payment can continue. Before making this announcement, Hormel Foods' was paying out quite a large proportion of earnings and 79% of free cash flows. This indicates that the company is more focused on returning cash to shareholders than growing the business, but it is still in a reasonable range to continue with.

Over the next year, EPS is forecast to expand by 28.0%. Assuming the dividend continues along the course it has been charting recently, our estimates show the payout ratio being 66% which brings it into quite a comfortable range.

historic-dividend
NYSE:HRL Historic Dividend December 22nd 2023

Hormel Foods Has A Solid Track Record

The company has an extended history of paying stable dividends. The annual payment during the last 10 years was $0.34 in 2013, and the most recent fiscal year payment was $1.13. This means that it has been growing its distributions at 13% per annum over that time. Rapidly growing dividends for a long time is a very valuable feature for an income stock.

Dividend Growth Is Doubtful

Investors could be attracted to the stock based on the quality of its payment history. However, things aren't all that rosy. In the last five years, Hormel Foods' earnings per share has shrunk at approximately 5.3% per annum. If the company is making less over time, it naturally follows that it will also have to pay out less in dividends. However, the next year is actually looking up, with earnings set to rise. We would just wait until it becomes a pattern before getting too excited.

In Summary

Overall, we always like to see the dividend being raised, but we don't think Hormel Foods will make a great income stock. In the past the payments have been stable, but we think the company is paying out too much for this to continue for the long term. We don't think Hormel Foods is a great stock to add to your portfolio if income is your focus.

Market movements attest to how highly valued a consistent dividend policy is compared to one which is more unpredictable. However, there are other things to consider for investors when analysing stock performance. Without at least some growth in earnings per share over time, the dividend will eventually come under pressure either from competition or inflation. See if the 8 analysts are forecasting a turnaround in our free collection of analyst estimates here. Looking for more high-yielding dividend ideas? Try our collection of strong dividend payers.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

About NYSE:HRL

Hormel Foods

Develops, processes, and distributes various meat, nuts, and other food products to foodservice, convenience store, and commercial customers in the United States and internationally.

Established dividend payer with adequate balance sheet.