Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. We note that The Alkaline Water Company Inc. (NASDAQ:WTER) does have debt on its balance sheet. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?
When Is Debt Dangerous?
Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.
Check out our latest analysis for Alkaline Water
What Is Alkaline Water's Net Debt?
You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that as of December 2021 Alkaline Water had US$6.43m of debt, an increase on US$4.33m, over one year. However, it also had US$3.29m in cash, and so its net debt is US$3.13m.
How Strong Is Alkaline Water's Balance Sheet?
We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Alkaline Water had liabilities of US$15.4m falling due within a year, and liabilities of US$175.1k due beyond that. On the other hand, it had cash of US$3.29m and US$7.77m worth of receivables due within a year. So it has liabilities totalling US$4.50m more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.
Of course, Alkaline Water has a market capitalization of US$63.6m, so these liabilities are probably manageable. However, we do think it is worth keeping an eye on its balance sheet strength, as it may change over time. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Alkaline Water's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.
In the last year Alkaline Water wasn't profitable at an EBIT level, but managed to grow its revenue by 36%, to US$58m. With any luck the company will be able to grow its way to profitability.
Caveat Emptor
Even though Alkaline Water managed to grow its top line quite deftly, the cold hard truth is that it is losing money on the EBIT line. Indeed, it lost a very considerable US$32m at the EBIT level. When we look at that and recall the liabilities on its balance sheet, relative to cash, it seems unwise to us for the company to have any debt. So we think its balance sheet is a little strained, though not beyond repair. However, it doesn't help that it burned through US$32m of cash over the last year. So in short it's a really risky stock. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. We've identified 5 warning signs with Alkaline Water (at least 1 which is significant) , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.
When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About OTCPK:WTER
Alkaline Water
Produces, distributes, and markets bottled alkaline water in the United States.
Moderate and slightly overvalued.