Stock Analysis

What Is Vital Farms, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:VITL) Share Price Doing?

NasdaqGM:VITL
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While Vital Farms, Inc. (NASDAQ:VITL) might not have the largest market cap around , it saw a significant share price rise of 104% in the past couple of months on the NASDAQGM. The recent jump in the share price has meant that the company is trading at close to its 52-week high. With many analysts covering the stock, we may expect any price-sensitive announcements have already been factored into the stock’s share price. But what if there is still an opportunity to buy? Let’s take a look at Vital Farms’s outlook and value based on the most recent financial data to see if the opportunity still exists.

Check out our latest analysis for Vital Farms

Is Vital Farms Still Cheap?

Vital Farms appears to be expensive according to our price multiple model, which makes a comparison between the company's price-to-earnings ratio and the industry average. We’ve used the price-to-earnings ratio in this instance because there’s not enough visibility to forecast its cash flows. The stock’s ratio of 51.51x is currently well-above the industry average of 14.87x, meaning that it is trading at a more expensive price relative to its peers. In addition to this, it seems like Vital Farms’s share price is quite stable, which could mean two things: firstly, it may take the share price a while to fall back down to an attractive buying range, and secondly, there may be less chances to buy low in the future once it reaches that value. This is because the stock is less volatile than the wider market given its low beta.

What does the future of Vital Farms look like?

earnings-and-revenue-growth
NasdaqGM:VITL Earnings and Revenue Growth June 26th 2024

Future outlook is an important aspect when you’re looking at buying a stock, especially if you are an investor looking for growth in your portfolio. Although value investors would argue that it’s the intrinsic value relative to the price that matter the most, a more compelling investment thesis would be high growth potential at a cheap price. With profit expected to grow by 41% over the next couple of years, the future seems bright for Vital Farms. It looks like higher cash flow is on the cards for the stock, which should feed into a higher share valuation.

What This Means For You

Are you a shareholder? VITL’s optimistic future growth appears to have been factored into the current share price, with shares trading above industry price multiples. At this current price, shareholders may be asking a different question – should I sell? If you believe VITL should trade below its current price, selling high and buying it back up again when its price falls towards the industry PE ratio can be profitable. But before you make this decision, take a look at whether its fundamentals have changed.

Are you a potential investor? If you’ve been keeping an eye on VITL for a while, now may not be the best time to enter into the stock. The price has surpassed its industry peers, which means it is likely that there is no more upside from mispricing. However, the optimistic prospect is encouraging for VITL, which means it’s worth diving deeper into other factors in order to take advantage of the next price drop.

If you'd like to know more about Vital Farms as a business, it's important to be aware of any risks it's facing. For example - Vital Farms has 2 warning signs we think you should be aware of.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.