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Pinning Down The Simply Good Foods Company's (NASDAQ:SMPL) P/E Is Difficult Right Now
When close to half the companies in the United States have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") below 18x, you may consider The Simply Good Foods Company (NASDAQ:SMPL) as a stock to avoid entirely with its 27.9x P/E ratio. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/E at face value as there may be an explanation why it's so lofty.
With earnings growth that's superior to most other companies of late, Simply Good Foods has been doing relatively well. It seems that many are expecting the strong earnings performance to persist, which has raised the P/E. If not, then existing shareholders might be a little nervous about the viability of the share price.
Check out our latest analysis for Simply Good Foods
Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on Simply Good Foods will help you uncover what's on the horizon.How Is Simply Good Foods' Growth Trending?
There's an inherent assumption that a company should far outperform the market for P/E ratios like Simply Good Foods' to be considered reasonable.
Retrospectively, the last year delivered a decent 3.8% gain to the company's bottom line. Pleasingly, EPS has also lifted 226% in aggregate from three years ago, partly thanks to the last 12 months of growth. Therefore, it's fair to say the earnings growth recently has been superb for the company.
Shifting to the future, estimates from the eleven analysts covering the company suggest earnings should grow by 12% each year over the next three years. Meanwhile, the rest of the market is forecast to expand by 11% per annum, which is not materially different.
In light of this, it's curious that Simply Good Foods' P/E sits above the majority of other companies. Apparently many investors in the company are more bullish than analysts indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock right now. Although, additional gains will be difficult to achieve as this level of earnings growth is likely to weigh down the share price eventually.
The Bottom Line On Simply Good Foods' P/E
Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-earnings ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.
Our examination of Simply Good Foods' analyst forecasts revealed that its market-matching earnings outlook isn't impacting its high P/E as much as we would have predicted. When we see an average earnings outlook with market-like growth, we suspect the share price is at risk of declining, sending the high P/E lower. This places shareholders' investments at risk and potential investors in danger of paying an unnecessary premium.
We don't want to rain on the parade too much, but we did also find 1 warning sign for Simply Good Foods that you need to be mindful of.
Of course, you might find a fantastic investment by looking at a few good candidates. So take a peek at this free list of companies with a strong growth track record, trading on a low P/E.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About NasdaqCM:SMPL
Simply Good Foods
A consumer-packaged food and beverage company, engages in the development, marketing, and sale of snacks and meal replacements, and other products in North America and internationally.
Excellent balance sheet with acceptable track record.