Stock Analysis

Here's Why Simply Good Foods (NASDAQ:SMPL) Can Manage Its Debt Responsibly

NasdaqCM:SMPL
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Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of permanent loss is the risk I worry about... and every practical investor I know worries about.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. As with many other companies The Simply Good Foods Company (NASDAQ:SMPL) makes use of debt. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?

Why Does Debt Bring Risk?

Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.

See our latest analysis for Simply Good Foods

What Is Simply Good Foods's Net Debt?

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that Simply Good Foods had debt of US$402.4m at the end of May 2022, a reduction from US$499.7m over a year. However, it does have US$56.7m in cash offsetting this, leading to net debt of about US$345.7m.

debt-equity-history-analysis
NasdaqCM:SMPL Debt to Equity History September 5th 2022

How Healthy Is Simply Good Foods' Balance Sheet?

We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Simply Good Foods had liabilities of US$120.3m falling due within a year, and liabilities of US$557.0m due beyond that. Offsetting this, it had US$56.7m in cash and US$146.4m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So it has liabilities totalling US$474.2m more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.

Of course, Simply Good Foods has a market capitalization of US$2.98b, so these liabilities are probably manageable. Having said that, it's clear that we should continue to monitor its balance sheet, lest it change for the worse.

We measure a company's debt load relative to its earnings power by looking at its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and by calculating how easily its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) cover its interest expense (interest cover). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.

With a debt to EBITDA ratio of 1.6, Simply Good Foods uses debt artfully but responsibly. And the fact that its trailing twelve months of EBIT was 8.5 times its interest expenses harmonizes with that theme. Also good is that Simply Good Foods grew its EBIT at 17% over the last year, further increasing its ability to manage debt. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Simply Good Foods's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. So we always check how much of that EBIT is translated into free cash flow. Over the most recent three years, Simply Good Foods recorded free cash flow worth 54% of its EBIT, which is around normal, given free cash flow excludes interest and tax. This free cash flow puts the company in a good position to pay down debt, when appropriate.

Our View

Simply Good Foods's EBIT growth rate suggests it can handle its debt as easily as Cristiano Ronaldo could score a goal against an under 14's goalkeeper. And that's just the beginning of the good news since its interest cover is also very heartening. All these things considered, it appears that Simply Good Foods can comfortably handle its current debt levels. Of course, while this leverage can enhance returns on equity, it does bring more risk, so it's worth keeping an eye on this one. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. To that end, you should be aware of the 1 warning sign we've spotted with Simply Good Foods .

If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.