Stock Analysis

Is S&W Seed (NASDAQ:SANW) Using Debt Sensibly?

The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. As with many other companies S&W Seed Company (NASDAQ:SANW) makes use of debt. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?

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When Is Debt Dangerous?

Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.

Check out our latest analysis for S&W Seed

What Is S&W Seed's Debt?

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that at March 2022 S&W Seed had debt of US$49.2m, up from US$46.1m in one year. However, it does have US$3.14m in cash offsetting this, leading to net debt of about US$46.0m.

debt-equity-history-analysis
NasdaqCM:SANW Debt to Equity History August 31st 2022

How Healthy Is S&W Seed's Balance Sheet?

The latest balance sheet data shows that S&W Seed had liabilities of US$59.7m due within a year, and liabilities of US$32.0m falling due after that. Offsetting this, it had US$3.14m in cash and US$23.6m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So it has liabilities totalling US$64.9m more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.

When you consider that this deficiency exceeds the company's US$51.9m market capitalization, you might well be inclined to review the balance sheet intently. Hypothetically, extremely heavy dilution would be required if the company were forced to pay down its liabilities by raising capital at the current share price. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine S&W Seed's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

In the last year S&W Seed had a loss before interest and tax, and actually shrunk its revenue by 15%, to US$74m. We would much prefer see growth.

Caveat Emptor

While S&W Seed's falling revenue is about as heartwarming as a wet blanket, arguably its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) loss is even less appealing. Indeed, it lost a very considerable US$26m at the EBIT level. When we look at that alongside the significant liabilities, we're not particularly confident about the company. We'd want to see some strong near-term improvements before getting too interested in the stock. Not least because it burned through US$24m in negative free cash flow over the last year. That means it's on the risky side of things. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. Case in point: We've spotted 4 warning signs for S&W Seed you should be aware of, and 1 of them is potentially serious.

If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.

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Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

About OTCPK:SANW

S&W Seed

An agricultural company, engages in breeding, growing, processing, and sale of alfalfa and sorghum seeds in North and South America, Australia, and internationally.

Slight risk and slightly overvalued.

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