Stock Analysis

What PepsiCo (PEP)'s Bottling Spin-Off Proposal From Activist Elliott Means For Shareholders

  • In September 2025, Elliott Investment Management revealed a US$4 billion stake in PepsiCo and publicly proposed a spin-off of its North American bottling operations, seeking to boost accountability and compete more effectively with Coca-Cola’s refranchised bottler model.
  • This activist push has prompted increased attention on potential operational restructuring at PepsiCo and signals the influence major shareholders can exert on longstanding business models.
  • We'll explore how Elliott's advocacy for a bottling spin-off could alter PepsiCo's investment narrative and future growth outlook.

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PepsiCo Investment Narrative Recap

To be a PepsiCo shareholder, you need to believe in the company's ability to drive productivity, innovate in healthier products, and expand internationally, while maintaining resilience through economic cycles. The Elliott Investment Management push for a North American bottling spin-off adds a layer of uncertainty around operational structure, but for now, does not materially change the short-term catalyst: progress toward margin improvement from integration and technology, alongside the risk of underperformance in permissible snacks as consumer preferences evolve.

Among recent company updates, PepsiCo’s collaboration with Unilever on the STEP Up for Agriculture initiative stands out. This move shows ongoing investment in sustainable supply chains, which is relevant as PepsiCo manages both cost efficiency and compliance with evolving environmental and regulatory requirements, factors that could impact margins as it considers activist proposals.

By contrast, investors should also be aware of the risk that PepsiCo’s heavy focus on cost-cutting and plant closures could ...

Read the full narrative on PepsiCo (it's free!)

PepsiCo's outlook suggests $101.5 billion in revenue and $11.8 billion in earnings by 2028. This scenario assumes 3.4% annual revenue growth and a $4.2 billion increase in earnings from the current $7.6 billion.

Uncover how PepsiCo's forecasts yield a $152.57 fair value, a 7% upside to its current price.

Exploring Other Perspectives

PEP Community Fair Values as at Oct 2025
PEP Community Fair Values as at Oct 2025

Community members on Simply Wall St estimate PepsiCo's fair value between US$120.49 and US$268.57, with 41 distinct views represented. These wide-ranging opinions appear as the company faces execution risk from aggressive cost initiatives, which could affect longer-term growth potential and market confidence.

Explore 41 other fair value estimates on PepsiCo - why the stock might be worth as much as 89% more than the current price!

Build Your Own PepsiCo Narrative

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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