Stock Analysis

With J&J Snack Foods Corp. (NASDAQ:JJSF) It Looks Like You'll Get What You Pay For

NasdaqGS:JJSF
Source: Shutterstock

J&J Snack Foods Corp.'s (NASDAQ:JJSF) price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 40.1x might make it look like a strong sell right now compared to the market in the United States, where around half of the companies have P/E ratios below 16x and even P/E's below 9x are quite common. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the highly elevated P/E.

Recent times have been pleasing for J&J Snack Foods as its earnings have risen in spite of the market's earnings going into reverse. The P/E is probably high because investors think the company will continue to navigate the broader market headwinds better than most. If not, then existing shareholders might be a little nervous about the viability of the share price.

View our latest analysis for J&J Snack Foods

pe-multiple-vs-industry
NasdaqGS:JJSF Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry January 4th 2024
If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on J&J Snack Foods.

What Are Growth Metrics Telling Us About The High P/E?

In order to justify its P/E ratio, J&J Snack Foods would need to produce outstanding growth well in excess of the market.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered an exceptional 67% gain to the company's bottom line. Pleasingly, EPS has also lifted 321% in aggregate from three years ago, thanks to the last 12 months of growth. So we can start by confirming that the company has done a great job of growing earnings over that time.

Turning to the outlook, the next three years should generate growth of 19% per annum as estimated by the five analysts watching the company. Meanwhile, the rest of the market is forecast to only expand by 12% per annum, which is noticeably less attractive.

In light of this, it's understandable that J&J Snack Foods' P/E sits above the majority of other companies. Apparently shareholders aren't keen to offload something that is potentially eyeing a more prosperous future.

The Bottom Line On J&J Snack Foods' P/E

We'd say the price-to-earnings ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.

We've established that J&J Snack Foods maintains its high P/E on the strength of its forecast growth being higher than the wider market, as expected. At this stage investors feel the potential for a deterioration in earnings isn't great enough to justify a lower P/E ratio. It's hard to see the share price falling strongly in the near future under these circumstances.

There are also other vital risk factors to consider before investing and we've discovered 1 warning sign for J&J Snack Foods that you should be aware of.

Of course, you might also be able to find a better stock than J&J Snack Foods. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether J&J Snack Foods is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

View the Free Analysis

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.