Stock Analysis

National Beverage (NASDAQ:FIZZ) Has Gifted Shareholders With A Fantastic 203% Total Return On Their Investment

NasdaqGS:FIZZ
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When you buy shares in a company, it's worth keeping in mind the possibility that it could fail, and you could lose your money. But on the bright side, if you buy shares in a high quality company at the right price, you can gain well over 100%. For instance, the price of National Beverage Corp. (NASDAQ:FIZZ) stock is up an impressive 164% over the last five years. On the other hand, the stock price has retraced 8.0% in the last week. However, this might be related to the overall market decline of 0.2% in a week.

See our latest analysis for National Beverage

While markets are a powerful pricing mechanism, share prices reflect investor sentiment, not just underlying business performance. One flawed but reasonable way to assess how sentiment around a company has changed is to compare the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price.

During five years of share price growth, National Beverage achieved compound earnings per share (EPS) growth of 25% per year. This EPS growth is reasonably close to the 21% average annual increase in the share price. This indicates that investor sentiment towards the company has not changed a great deal. In fact, the share price seems to largely reflect the EPS growth.

The company's earnings per share (over time) is depicted in the image below (click to see the exact numbers).

earnings-per-share-growth
NasdaqGS:FIZZ Earnings Per Share Growth February 22nd 2021

We know that National Beverage has improved its bottom line lately, but is it going to grow revenue? Check if analysts think National Beverage will grow revenue in the future.

What about the Total Shareholder Return (TSR)?

We'd be remiss not to mention the difference between National Beverage's total shareholder return (TSR) and its share price return. The TSR is a return calculation that accounts for the value of cash dividends (assuming that any dividend received was reinvested) and the calculated value of any discounted capital raisings and spin-offs. Dividends have been really beneficial for National Beverage shareholders, and that cash payout contributed to why its TSR of 203%, over the last 5 years, is better than the share price return.

A Different Perspective

We're pleased to report that National Beverage shareholders have received a total shareholder return of 133% over one year. That's better than the annualised return of 25% over half a decade, implying that the company is doing better recently. In the best case scenario, this may hint at some real business momentum, implying that now could be a great time to delve deeper. While it is well worth considering the different impacts that market conditions can have on the share price, there are other factors that are even more important. For instance, we've identified 1 warning sign for National Beverage that you should be aware of.

Of course National Beverage may not be the best stock to buy. So you may wish to see this free collection of growth stocks.

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on US exchanges.

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Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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About NasdaqGS:FIZZ

National Beverage

Through its subsidiaries, develops, produces, markets, and sells a portfolio of sparkling waters, juices, energy drinks, and carbonated soft drinks in the United States and Canada.

Outstanding track record with flawless balance sheet.

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