Reconnaissance Energy Africa Valuation
Is RECA.F undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?
Valuation Score
3/6Valuation Score 3/6
Below Fair Value
Significantly Below Fair Value
Price-To-Earnings vs Peers
Price-To-Earnings vs Industry
Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio
Analyst Forecast
Share Price vs Fair Value
What is the Fair Price of RECA.F when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.
Below Fair Value: Insufficient data to calculate RECA.F's fair value for valuation analysis.
Significantly Below Fair Value: Insufficient data to calculate RECA.F's fair value for valuation analysis.
Key Valuation Metric
Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for RECA.F?
Key metric: As RECA.F is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.
| What is RECA.F's PE Ratio? | |
|---|---|
| PE Ratio | 4.1x |
| Earnings | CA$65.70m |
| Market Cap | CA$270.88m |
| Key Statistics | |
|---|---|
| Enterprise Value/Revenue | n/a |
| Enterprise Value/EBITDA | -12.1x |
| PEG Ratio | n/a |
Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers
How does RECA.F's PE Ratio compare to its peers?
| Company | Forward PE | Estimated Growth | Market Cap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Peer Average | 20.4x | ||
SJT San Juan Basin Royalty Trust | 21.7x | n/a | US$191.1m |
PHX PHX Minerals | 30.2x | 89.3% | US$142.8m |
EPSN Epsilon Energy | 25x | 45.0% | US$132.0m |
AMPY Amplify Energy | 4.5x | -8.0% | US$275.6m |
RECA.F Reconnaissance Energy Africa | 4.1x | n/a | US$270.9m |
Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: RECA.F is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (4.1x) compared to the peer average (20.4x).
Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry
How does RECA.F's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Oil and Gas Industry?
Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: RECA.F is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (4.1x) compared to the US Oil and Gas industry average (11.6x).
Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio
What is RECA.F's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.
| Fair Ratio | |
|---|---|
| Current PE Ratio | 4.1x |
| Fair PE Ratio | n/a |
Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate RECA.F's Price-To-Earnings Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.
Analyst Price Targets
What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?
| Date | Share Price | Average 1Y Price Target | Dispersion | High | Low | 1Y Actual price | Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Current | US$0.74 | US$1.74 +135.6% | 12.7% | US$2.04 | US$1.52 | n/a | 3 |
| Nov ’25 | US$0.68 | US$1.75 +159.1% | 12.3% | US$2.04 | US$1.52 | n/a | 3 |
| Oct ’25 | US$0.76 | US$1.75 +129.6% | 12.3% | US$2.04 | US$1.53 | n/a | 3 |
| Sep ’25 | US$0.69 | US$1.75 +151.8% | 12.3% | US$2.04 | US$1.53 | n/a | 3 |
| Aug ’25 | US$0.75 | US$1.86 +149.3% | 9.5% | US$2.04 | US$1.69 | n/a | 2 |
| Jul ’25 | US$1.07 | US$1.50 +40.6% | 34.5% | US$2.04 | US$0.80 | n/a | 3 |
| Jun ’25 | US$0.92 | US$1.51 +64.0% | 34.3% | US$2.04 | US$0.81 | n/a | 3 |
| May ’25 | US$0.67 | US$1.58 +135.1% | 29.5% | US$2.04 | US$1.11 | n/a | 2 |
Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.
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