PHX Minerals Valuation

Is PHX undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of PHX when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: PHX ($3.25) is trading above our estimate of fair value ($1.28)

Significantly Below Fair Value: PHX is trading above our estimate of fair value.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for PHX?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

PHX key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue5x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA8.7x
PEG Ratio0.4x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does PHX's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for PHX vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average24x
EPSN Epsilon Energy
24.3xn/aUS$118.4m
MVO MV Oil Trust
6.2xn/aUS$114.1m
TGA TransGlobe Energy
2.2xn/aUS$272.3m
EPM Evolution Petroleum
63.5x125.8%US$178.1m
PHX PHX Minerals
29.1x69.0%US$123.6m

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: PHX is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (29.1x) compared to the peer average (31.3x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does PHX's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Oil and Gas Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a5.7%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPE048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a5.7%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: PHX is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (29.1x) compared to the US Oil and Gas industry average (11.1x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is PHX's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

PHX PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio29.1x
Fair PE Ratio28.3x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: PHX is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (29.1x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (28.3x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst PHX forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$3.25
US$4.60
+41.5%
6.4%US$5.00US$4.30n/a3
Jul ’25US$3.26
US$4.60
+41.1%
6.4%US$5.00US$4.30n/a3
Jun ’25US$3.25
US$4.60
+41.5%
6.4%US$5.00US$4.30n/a3
May ’25US$3.29
US$4.89
+48.6%
11.4%US$5.75US$4.30n/a4
Apr ’25US$3.41
US$4.83
+41.5%
9.7%US$5.50US$4.30n/a4
Mar ’25US$3.06
US$5.00
+63.4%
7.1%US$5.50US$4.50n/a4
Feb ’25US$3.11
US$5.00
+60.8%
11.0%US$5.50US$4.00n/a5
Jan ’25US$3.22
US$5.04
+56.5%
11.7%US$5.70US$4.00n/a5
Dec ’24US$3.50
US$5.14
+46.9%
12.0%US$5.70US$4.00n/a5
Nov ’24US$3.40
US$5.08
+49.4%
11.2%US$5.50US$4.00n/a5
Oct ’24US$3.64
US$5.20
+42.9%
11.5%US$5.50US$4.00n/a5
Sep ’24US$3.57
US$5.13
+43.6%
12.7%US$5.50US$4.00n/a4
Aug ’24US$3.23
US$4.75
+47.1%
11.8%US$5.50US$4.00n/a4
Jul ’24US$3.12
US$4.80
+53.8%
11.3%US$5.50US$4.00US$3.264
Jun ’24US$2.86
US$4.80
+67.8%
11.3%US$5.50US$4.00US$3.254
May ’24US$2.74
US$5.13
+87.0%
14.4%US$6.00US$4.00US$3.294
Apr ’24US$2.62
US$5.03
+92.1%
14.5%US$5.60US$4.00US$3.413
Mar ’24US$2.89
US$5.03
+74.2%
14.5%US$5.60US$4.00US$3.063
Feb ’24US$3.60
US$5.53
+53.7%
22.2%US$7.00US$4.00US$3.113
Jan ’24US$3.89
US$5.73
+47.4%
22.1%US$7.00US$4.00US$3.223
Dec ’23US$3.67
US$5.70
+55.3%
22.5%US$7.10US$4.00US$3.503
Nov ’23US$4.07
US$5.70
+40.0%
22.5%US$7.10US$4.00US$3.403
Oct ’23US$3.24
US$5.95
+83.6%
32.8%US$7.90US$4.00US$3.642
Sep ’23US$3.15
US$5.35
+69.8%
25.2%US$6.70US$4.00US$3.572
Aug ’23US$3.11
US$5.35
+72.0%
25.2%US$6.70US$4.00US$3.232
Jul ’23US$3.03
US$5.45
+79.9%
26.6%US$6.90US$4.00US$3.122

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.


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