Amplify Energy Valuation

Is AMPY undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

4/6

Valuation Score 4/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of AMPY when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: AMPY ($6.56) is trading above our estimate of fair value ($0.98)

Significantly Below Fair Value: AMPY is trading above our estimate of fair value.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for AMPY?

Key metric: As AMPY is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for AMPY. This is calculated by dividing AMPY's market cap by their current earnings.
What is AMPY's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio4.3x
EarningsUS$61.14m
Market CapUS$262.48m

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does AMPY's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for AMPY vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average5.5x
BRY Berry
3.9x-2.9%US$336.2m
GTE Gran Tierra Energy
5x-113.4%US$226.9m
SD SandRidge Energy
9.2xn/aUS$425.5m
GPRK GeoPark
4.1x12.0%US$437.7m
AMPY Amplify Energy
4.3x-8.0%US$262.5m

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: AMPY is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (4.3x) compared to the peer average (5.5x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does AMPY's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Oil and Gas Industry?

3 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
AXAS Abraxas Petroleum
0.09xn/aUS$10.27m
BYRO.F Byron Energy
0.03x-10.3%US$312.17k
USOP.Y U.S. Oil and Gas
n/an/aUS$6.00
No more companies available in this PE range
AMPY 4.3xIndustry Avg. 11.7xNo. of Companies16PE0612182430+
3 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: AMPY is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (4.3x) compared to the US Oil and Gas industry average (11.7x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is AMPY's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

AMPY PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio4.3x
Fair PE Ratio6.8x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: AMPY is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (4.3x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (6.8x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst AMPY forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$6.56
US$9.83
+49.9%
8.6%US$11.00US$9.00n/a3
Nov ’25US$6.54
US$10.00
+52.9%
7.1%US$11.00US$9.50n/a3
Oct ’25US$6.66
US$10.00
+50.2%
7.1%US$11.00US$9.50n/a3
Sep ’25US$7.13
US$10.00
+40.3%
7.1%US$11.00US$9.50n/a3
Aug ’25US$7.19
US$9.83
+36.8%
8.6%US$11.00US$9.00n/a3
Jul ’25US$6.72
US$9.83
+46.3%
8.6%US$11.00US$9.00n/a3
Jun ’25US$6.30
US$9.83
+56.1%
8.6%US$11.00US$9.00n/a3
May ’25US$6.72
US$9.25
+37.6%
2.7%US$9.50US$9.00n/a2
Apr ’25US$6.63
US$9.25
+39.5%
2.7%US$9.50US$9.00n/a2
Mar ’25US$6.12
US$9.25
+51.1%
2.7%US$9.50US$9.00n/a2
Feb ’25US$6.05
US$10.00
+65.3%
10.0%US$11.00US$9.00n/a2

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.


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