PetroChina Company Limited

OTCPK:PCCY.F Stock Report

Market Cap: US$194.1b

PetroChina Valuation

Is PCCY.F undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

5/6

Valuation Score 5/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of PCCY.F when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: PCCY.F ($0.7) is trading below our estimate of fair value ($1.4)

Significantly Below Fair Value: PCCY.F is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for PCCY.F?

Key metric: As PCCY.F is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for PCCY.F. This is calculated by dividing PCCY.F's market cap by their current earnings.
What is PCCY.F's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio5.8x
EarningsCN¥162.02b
Market CapCN¥1.41t

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does PCCY.F's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for PCCY.F vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average15x
CVX Chevron
17.5x7.0%US$288.2b
XOM Exxon Mobil
15.4x4.9%US$527.3b
OXY Occidental Petroleum
13.3x8.7%US$47.3b
COP ConocoPhillips
13.9x0.6%US$137.2b
PCCY.F PetroChina
5.8x-3.8%US$1.5t

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: PCCY.F is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (5.8x) compared to the peer average (15x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does PCCY.F's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Oil and Gas Industry?

3 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
AXAS Abraxas Petroleum
0.09xn/aUS$10.27m
BYRO.F Byron Energy
0.03x-10.3%US$312.17k
USOP.Y U.S. Oil and Gas
n/an/aUS$6.00
No more companies available in this PE range
PCCY.F 5.8xIndustry Avg. 11.6xNo. of Companies20PE0816243240+
3 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: PCCY.F is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (5.8x) compared to the US Oil and Gas industry average (11.6x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is PCCY.F's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

PCCY.F PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio5.8x
Fair PE Ratio14.8x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: PCCY.F is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (5.8x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (14.8x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst PCCY.F forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$0.70
US$1.02
+46.2%
16.9%US$1.28US$0.44n/a18
Nov ’25US$0.81
US$1.03
+27.7%
16.9%US$1.30US$0.45n/a18
Oct ’25US$0.83
US$1.05
+26.7%
18.6%US$1.32US$0.45n/a17
Sep ’25US$0.91
US$1.06
+17.4%
18.3%US$1.34US$0.45n/a16
Aug ’25US$0.82
US$1.05
+28.1%
19.6%US$1.37US$0.45n/a16
Jul ’25US$1.01
US$1.03
+2.0%
18.9%US$1.28US$0.45n/a16
Jun ’25US$1.03
US$0.99
-3.7%
18.4%US$1.25US$0.45n/a16
May ’25US$0.88
US$0.96
+8.8%
19.3%US$1.25US$0.45n/a15
Apr ’25US$0.85
US$0.89
+5.3%
16.1%US$1.03US$0.45n/a15
Mar ’25US$0.76
US$0.85
+12.5%
15.4%US$1.03US$0.45n/a14
Feb ’25US$0.71
US$0.84
+18.7%
14.9%US$1.03US$0.45n/a15
Jan ’25US$0.66
US$0.85
+30.0%
15.5%US$1.03US$0.45n/a15
Dec ’24US$0.65
US$0.86
+32.5%
15.4%US$1.04US$0.45n/a15
Nov ’24US$0.65
US$0.84
+29.3%
15.2%US$1.01US$0.45US$0.8115
Oct ’24US$0.74
US$0.82
+10.9%
14.4%US$0.97US$0.45US$0.8315
Sep ’24US$0.72
US$0.81
+11.8%
13.7%US$0.98US$0.45US$0.9116
Aug ’24US$0.73
US$0.79
+8.2%
15.6%US$1.00US$0.41US$0.8216
Jul ’24US$0.68
US$0.76
+11.9%
14.2%US$0.92US$0.40US$1.0116
Jun ’24US$0.65
US$0.77
+19.4%
14.4%US$0.94US$0.40US$1.0316
May ’24US$0.68
US$0.74
+9.2%
14.0%US$0.83US$0.41US$0.8815
Apr ’24US$0.59
US$0.66
+11.3%
17.3%US$0.81US$0.34US$0.8515
Mar ’24US$0.51
US$0.62
+22.0%
17.7%US$0.80US$0.34US$0.7616
Feb ’24US$0.53
US$0.63
+19.5%
18.2%US$0.83US$0.35US$0.7116
Jan ’24US$0.45
US$0.62
+39.5%
19.8%US$0.80US$0.35US$0.6615
Dec ’23US$0.45
US$0.60
+35.1%
19.8%US$0.78US$0.34US$0.6515
Nov ’23US$0.38
US$0.61
+61.7%
19.3%US$0.76US$0.33US$0.6515

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price, but analysts are not within a statistically confident range of agreement.


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