Chevron Corporation

NYSE:CVX Stock Report

Market Cap: US$256.7b

Chevron Valuation

Is CVX undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

4/6

Valuation Score 4/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of CVX when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: CVX ($142.97) is trading below our estimate of fair value ($288)

Significantly Below Fair Value: CVX is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for CVX?

Key metric: As CVX is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for CVX. This is calculated by dividing CVX's market cap by their current earnings.
What is CVX's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio15.4x
EarningsUS$16.68b
Market CapUS$256.71b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does CVX's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for CVX vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average12.1x
XOM Exxon Mobil
13.9x5.4%US$465.3b
OXY Occidental Petroleum
12.7x6.3%US$44.2b
COP ConocoPhillips
12.6x2.0%US$123.0b
EOG EOG Resources
9.4x-3.0%US$67.0b
CVX Chevron
15.4x7.8%US$256.7b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: CVX is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (15.4x) compared to the peer average (12.1x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does CVX's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Oil and Gas Industry?

3 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
AXAS Abraxas Petroleum
0.09xn/aUS$10.27m
BYRO.F Byron Energy
0.03x-10.3%US$312.17k
USOP.Y U.S. Oil and Gas
n/an/aUS$6.00
No more companies available in this PE range
CVX 15.4xIndustry Avg. 11.2xNo. of Companies17PE0612182430+
3 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: CVX is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (15.4x) compared to the US Oil and Gas industry average (11.2x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is CVX's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

CVX PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio15.4x
Fair PE Ratio17x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: CVX is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (15.4x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (17x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst CVX forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$142.97
US$175.71
+22.9%
6.7%US$197.00US$154.00n/a23
Dec ’25US$161.93
US$173.41
+7.1%
6.3%US$194.00US$154.00n/a23
Nov ’25US$153.07
US$169.22
+10.6%
7.2%US$192.00US$145.00n/a23
Oct ’25US$149.70
US$171.46
+14.5%
7.4%US$196.00US$150.00n/a22
Sep ’25US$147.95
US$177.27
+19.8%
8.6%US$205.00US$154.00n/a22
Aug ’25US$152.62
US$181.90
+19.2%
8.6%US$206.00US$155.00n/a22
Jul ’25US$156.52
US$183.84
+17.5%
8.0%US$206.00US$155.00n/a22
Jun ’25US$162.30
US$184.20
+13.5%
8.0%US$206.00US$155.00n/a23
May ’25US$159.63
US$182.49
+14.3%
8.3%US$206.00US$148.00n/a24
Apr ’25US$159.08
US$177.03
+11.3%
6.8%US$200.00US$148.00n/a23
Mar ’25US$152.81
US$178.05
+16.5%
7.0%US$196.00US$148.00n/a25
Feb ’25US$147.89
US$176.78
+19.5%
6.8%US$194.00US$148.00n/a24
Jan ’25US$149.16
US$178.65
+19.8%
6.8%US$200.00US$148.00n/a24
Dec ’24US$144.81
US$181.19
+25.1%
6.1%US$200.00US$160.00US$161.9324
Nov ’24US$143.98
US$183.09
+27.2%
6.5%US$215.00US$166.00US$153.0724
Oct ’24US$168.62
US$186.05
+10.3%
7.5%US$215.00US$165.00US$149.7026
Sep ’24US$164.30
US$185.46
+12.9%
7.3%US$209.00US$165.00US$147.9526
Aug ’24US$162.30
US$183.50
+13.1%
7.2%US$207.00US$161.00US$152.6226
Jul ’24US$157.35
US$185.88
+18.1%
7.3%US$208.00US$161.00US$156.5225
Jun ’24US$152.16
US$186.48
+22.6%
7.5%US$212.00US$161.00US$162.3025
May ’24US$167.24
US$190.67
+14.0%
9.2%US$236.00US$161.00US$159.6327
Apr ’24US$163.16
US$190.71
+16.9%
9.3%US$236.00US$161.00US$159.0828
Mar ’24US$162.05
US$191.46
+18.2%
9.5%US$236.00US$149.00US$152.8128
Feb ’24US$171.36
US$192.39
+12.3%
9.2%US$236.00US$149.00US$147.8928
Jan ’24US$179.49
US$189.32
+5.5%
9.5%US$236.00US$149.00US$149.1628
Dec ’23US$182.49
US$189.57
+3.9%
9.8%US$236.00US$143.00US$144.8128

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2024/12/23 01:50
End of Day Share Price 2024/12/23 00:00
Earnings2024/09/30
Annual Earnings2023/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

Chevron Corporation is covered by 66 analysts. 18 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
William SeleskyArgus Research Company
Ishan MajumdarBaptista Research
Betty JiangBarclays