Exxon Mobil Corporation

NYSE:XOM Stock Report

Market Cap: US$456.2b

Exxon Mobil Valuation

Is XOM undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of XOM when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: XOM ($114.97) is trading below our estimate of fair value ($135.9)

Significantly Below Fair Value: XOM is trading below fair value, but not by a significant amount.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for XOM?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

XOM key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue1.4x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA7.1x
PEG Ratio-9.8x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does XOM's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for XOM vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average12.4x
CVX Chevron
13.6x1.1%US$290.4b
OXY Occidental Petroleum
15.2x18.9%US$56.9b
COP ConocoPhillips
13.7x-1.8%US$149.2b
MPC Marathon Petroleum
7.3x-25.9%US$71.0b
XOM Exxon Mobil
12.7x-1.3%US$456.2b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: XOM is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (12.7x) compared to the peer average (12.4x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does XOM's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Oil and Gas Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a-0.7%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPE048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a-0.7%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: XOM is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (12.7x) compared to the US Oil and Gas industry average (9.3x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is XOM's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

XOM PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio12.7x
Fair PE Ratio13.2x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: XOM is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (12.7x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (13.2x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst XOM forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$114.97
US$124.23
+8.1%
8.5%US$149.00US$105.00n/a23
Mar ’25US$105.84
US$124.18
+17.3%
9.2%US$149.00US$105.00n/a24
Feb ’25US$102.39
US$124.19
+21.3%
9.1%US$149.00US$105.00n/a24
Jan ’25US$99.98
US$126.10
+26.1%
9.7%US$150.00US$105.00n/a24
Dec ’24US$102.99
US$127.08
+23.4%
9.0%US$150.00US$110.00n/a24
Nov ’24US$105.64
US$127.00
+20.2%
9.9%US$150.00US$110.00n/a24
Oct ’24US$117.58
US$123.57
+5.1%
9.8%US$150.00US$105.00n/a23
Sep ’24US$113.52
US$122.22
+7.7%
9.2%US$146.00US$105.00n/a23
Aug ’24US$106.62
US$121.26
+13.7%
9.7%US$146.00US$100.00n/a23
Jul ’24US$107.25
US$124.35
+15.9%
9.2%US$146.00US$98.00n/a24
Jun ’24US$103.36
US$125.60
+21.5%
9.8%US$146.00US$98.00n/a24
May ’24US$114.67
US$125.94
+9.8%
10.6%US$148.00US$98.00n/a26
Apr ’24US$109.66
US$124.27
+13.3%
10.2%US$148.00US$98.00n/a27
Mar ’24US$110.89
US$122.81
+10.8%
10.5%US$148.00US$98.00US$105.8427
Feb ’24US$114.74
US$122.25
+6.5%
10.2%US$142.00US$98.00US$102.3927
Jan ’24US$110.30
US$115.25
+4.5%
13.8%US$138.00US$77.00US$99.9827
Dec ’23US$110.80
US$114.33
+3.2%
13.7%US$138.00US$77.00US$102.9927
Nov ’23US$111.91
US$111.50
-0.4%
13.4%US$136.00US$77.00US$105.6427
Oct ’23US$87.31
US$104.77
+20.0%
13.4%US$134.00US$77.00US$117.5827
Sep ’23US$93.87
US$104.51
+11.3%
13.5%US$134.00US$77.00US$113.5227
Aug ’23US$94.48
US$103.65
+9.7%
14.1%US$134.00US$77.00US$106.6226
Jul ’23US$87.55
US$100.64
+15.0%
12.7%US$128.00US$77.00US$107.2525
Jun ’23US$97.84
US$96.74
-1.1%
11.0%US$120.00US$77.00US$103.3625
May ’23US$85.25
US$95.18
+11.6%
11.5%US$120.00US$75.00US$114.6725
Apr ’23US$83.12
US$88.92
+7.0%
14.1%US$120.00US$66.00US$109.6625
Mar ’23US$79.17
US$81.25
+2.6%
13.1%US$110.00US$66.00US$110.8926

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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