Capricorn Energy PLC

OTCPK:CRNZ.F Stock Report

Market Cap: US$205.0m

Capricorn Energy Valuation

Is CRNZ.F undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Sales vs Peers

  • Price-To-Sales vs Industry

  • Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of CRNZ.F when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: CRNZ.F ($2.92) is trading above our estimate of fair value ($0.24)

Significantly Below Fair Value: CRNZ.F is trading above our estimate of fair value.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for CRNZ.F?

Key metric: As CRNZ.F is unprofitable we use its Price-To-Sales Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Sales ratio for CRNZ.F. This is calculated by dividing CRNZ.F's market cap by their current revenue.
What is CRNZ.F's PS Ratio?
PS Ratio1.1x
SalesUS$183.00m
Market CapUS$205.01m

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does CRNZ.F's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for CRNZ.F vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PSEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average2x
REI Ring Energy
0.8x6.0%US$297.3m
GTE Gran Tierra Energy
0.4x2.2%US$245.5m
EP Empire Petroleum
4.5xn/aUS$194.4m
EPM Evolution Petroleum
2.2xn/aUS$189.8m
CRNZ.F Capricorn Energy
1.1x-13.8%US$161.7m

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: CRNZ.F is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (1.1x) compared to the peer average (2x).

Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry

How does CRNZ.F's PS Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Oil and Gas Industry?

38 CompaniesPrice / SalesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
PSX Phillips 66
0.4x-5.4%US$55.07b
MPC Marathon Petroleum
0.3x-3.6%US$49.93b
VLO Valero Energy
0.3x-2.7%US$43.87b
PAA Plains All American Pipeline
0.3x-2.1%US$12.73b
CRNZ.F 1.1xIndustry Avg. 1.7xNo. of Companies38PS01.63.24.86.48+
38 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: CRNZ.F is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (1.1x) compared to the US Oil and Gas industry average (1.7x).

Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is CRNZ.F's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

CRNZ.F PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio1.1x
Fair PS Ration/a

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate CRNZ.F's Price-To-Sales Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst CRNZ.F forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$2.92
US$3.31
+13.3%
29.5%US$5.43US$2.59n/a6
Nov ’25n/a
US$2.92
0%
7.7%US$3.26US$2.59n/a5
Oct ’25US$2.65
US$2.96
+11.6%
10.0%US$3.48US$2.59n/a5
Sep ’25n/a
US$3.06
0%
9.8%US$3.47US$2.68n/a5
Aug ’25US$2.35
US$3.06
+30.3%
9.8%US$3.47US$2.68n/a5
Jul ’25US$2.41
US$2.97
+23.2%
9.4%US$3.47US$2.65n/a5
Jun ’25n/a
US$2.86
0%
13.9%US$3.47US$2.22n/a5
May ’25n/a
US$2.97
0%
21.5%US$4.18US$2.42n/a5
Apr ’25n/a
US$2.90
0%
22.6%US$4.18US$2.42n/a5
Mar ’25n/a
US$2.85
0%
20.9%US$4.03US$2.42n/a5
Feb ’25n/a
US$2.89
0%
19.9%US$4.03US$2.48n/a5
Jan ’25US$2.68
US$4.22
+57.7%
17.4%US$5.45US$3.02n/a6
Dec ’24n/a
US$4.55
0%
11.9%US$5.45US$3.88n/a6
Nov ’24n/a
US$4.50
0%
10.5%US$5.26US$3.88n/a6
Oct ’24US$4.30
US$5.12
+19.1%
17.5%US$6.87US$4.03US$2.656
Sep ’24US$3.67
US$6.40
+74.5%
35.7%US$11.25US$4.45n/a6
Aug ’24n/a
US$7.30
0%
29.8%US$11.25US$5.15US$2.357
Jul ’24n/a
US$8.43
0%
36.6%US$14.02US$5.24US$2.417
Jun ’24n/a
US$11.39
0%
14.2%US$12.79US$7.63n/a7
May ’24n/a
US$12.75
0%
13.3%US$16.21US$11.25n/a7
Apr ’24US$11.35
US$13.67
+20.4%
14.3%US$17.79US$11.25n/a7
Mar ’24US$11.68
US$13.64
+16.8%
13.0%US$17.79US$11.25n/a8
Feb ’24US$12.65
US$13.53
+7.0%
13.1%US$17.79US$11.74n/a8
Jan ’24n/a
US$12.86
0%
12.5%US$16.51US$11.24US$2.688
Dec ’23US$12.41
US$12.86
+3.7%
12.5%US$16.51US$11.24n/a8
Nov ’23n/a
US$12.82
0%
12.5%US$16.51US$11.24n/a8

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.

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