Capricorn Energy Valuation

Q: What is the Fair Price of CRNC.Y when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

CRNC.Y ($5.7) is trading above our estimate of [[fair value]] ($0.47)

Is CRNC.Y undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

Below Fair Value
Significantly Below Fair Value
Price-To-Sales vs Peers
Price-To-Sales vs Industry
Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio
Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of CRNC.Y when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: CRNC.Y ($5.7) is trading above our estimate of fair value ($0.47)

Significantly Below Fair Value: CRNC.Y is trading above our estimate of fair value.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for CRNC.Y?

Key metric: As CRNC.Y is unprofitable we use its Price-To-Sales Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Sales ratio for CRNC.Y. This is calculated by dividing CRNC.Y's market cap by their current revenue.
What is CRNC.Y's PS Ratio?
PS Ratio	1.1x
Sales	US$183.00m
Market Cap	US$209.60m

CRNC.Y key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue	1x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA	2.6x
PEG Ratio	n/a

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does CRNC.Y's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for CRNC.Y vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
Company	Forward PS	Estimated Growth	Market Cap
Peer Average	2x
REI Ring Energy	0.9x	6.2%	US$317.1m
GTE Gran Tierra Energy	0.4x	6.2%	US$231.6m
EP Empire Petroleum	4.6x	n/a	US$198.1m
EPM Evolution Petroleum	2.3x	n/a	US$199.7m
CRNC.Y Capricorn Energy	1.1x	-13.8%	US$167.3m

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: CRNC.Y is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (1.1x) compared to the peer average (2x).

Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry

How does CRNC.Y's PS Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Oil and Gas Industry?

36 Companies	Price / Sales	Estimated Growth	Market Cap
PSX Phillips 66	0.4x	-5.4%	US$55.04b
MPC Marathon Petroleum	0.4x	-3.6%	US$50.93b
VLO Valero Energy	0.3x	-2.7%	US$44.61b
PAA Plains All American Pipeline	0.3x	-2.1%	US$12.62b

36 Companies		Estimated Growth	Market Cap

No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: CRNC.Y is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (1.1x) compared to the US Oil and Gas industry average (1.8x).

Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is CRNC.Y's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

CRNC.Y PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio	1.1x
Fair PS Ratio	1.1x

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: CRNC.Y is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (1.1x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Sales Ratio (1.1x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

Analyst Forecast: Insufficient data to show price forecast.

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