BP p.l.c.

OTCPK:BPAQ.F Stock Report

Market Cap: US$77.3b

BP Valuation

Is BPAQ.F undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

5/6

Valuation Score 5/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Sales vs Peers

  • Price-To-Sales vs Industry

  • Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of BPAQ.F when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Discounted Cash Flow
Simply Wall St
US$20.37
Fair Value
75.8% undervalued intrinsic discount
19
Number of Analysts

Below Fair Value: BPAQ.F ($4.94) is trading below our estimate of fair value ($20.37)

Significantly Below Fair Value: BPAQ.F is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for BPAQ.F?

Key metric: As BPAQ.F is unprofitable we use its Price-To-Sales Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Sales ratio for BPAQ.F. This is calculated by dividing BPAQ.F's market cap by their current revenue.
What is BPAQ.F's PS Ratio?
PS Ratio0.4x
SalesUS$185.41b
Market CapUS$77.27b

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does BPAQ.F's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for BPAQ.F vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PSEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average2.7x
OXY Occidental Petroleum
1.5x1.43%US$42.4b
CVX Chevron
1.3x-1.60%US$248.2b
XOM Exxon Mobil
1.4x1.28%US$466.3b
WMB Williams Companies
6.5x8.66%US$71.8b
BPAQ.F BP
0.4x-1.19%US$58.2b

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: BPAQ.F is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.4x) compared to the peer average (2.7x).

Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry

How does BPAQ.F's PS Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Oil and Gas Industry?

43 CompaniesPrice / SalesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
PSX Phillips 66
0.4x-3.44%US$51.25b
MPC Marathon Petroleum
0.4x-2.48%US$50.42b
VLO Valero Energy
0.3x0.42%US$42.51b
PAA Plains All American Pipeline
0.2x3.50%US$12.13b
BPAQ.F 0.4xIndustry Avg. 1.7xNo. of Companies43PS01.63.24.86.48+
43 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: BPAQ.F is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.4x) compared to the US Oil and Gas industry average (1.7x).

Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is BPAQ.F's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

BPAQ.F PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio0.4x
Fair PS Ratio0.9x

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: BPAQ.F is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.4x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.9x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst BPAQ.F forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$4.94
US$5.88
+19.06%
16.58%US$8.63US$4.52n/a19
May ’26US$4.71
US$5.98
+26.86%
15.99%US$8.64US$4.83n/a19
Apr ’26US$5.60
US$6.38
+13.95%
12.67%US$8.40US$5.46n/a19
Mar ’26US$5.43
US$6.28
+15.64%
13.10%US$8.25US$5.32n/a18
Feb ’26US$5.10
US$5.98
+17.18%
12.02%US$7.93US$5.01n/a18
Jan ’26US$4.88
US$6.21
+27.22%
12.72%US$8.29US$5.12n/a18
Dec ’25US$4.84
US$6.35
+31.23%
12.24%US$8.45US$5.32n/a18
Nov ’25US$4.87
US$6.43
+32.05%
11.92%US$8.45US$5.40n/a18
Oct ’25US$5.23
US$6.94
+32.61%
11.05%US$9.01US$5.95n/a18
Sep ’25US$5.60
US$7.25
+29.46%
11.28%US$9.62US$6.24n/a17
Aug ’25US$5.81
US$7.45
+28.24%
10.04%US$9.62US$6.42n/a17
Jul ’25US$5.99
US$7.72
+28.88%
17.36%US$12.54US$6.25n/a17
Jun ’25US$6.06
US$7.68
+26.69%
17.46%US$12.54US$6.25n/a17
May ’25US$6.36
US$7.66
+20.48%
17.88%US$12.67US$6.17US$4.7117
Apr ’25US$6.01
US$7.65
+27.35%
17.33%US$12.59US$6.31US$5.6017
Mar ’25US$5.93
US$7.61
+28.35%
17.76%US$12.59US$6.31US$5.4317
Feb ’25US$5.94
US$7.74
+30.41%
17.95%US$12.70US$6.37US$5.1018
Jan ’25US$5.93
US$7.74
+30.59%
18.54%US$12.12US$6.29US$4.8818
Dec ’24US$5.94
US$7.70
+29.64%
18.71%US$12.12US$6.39US$4.8418
Nov ’24US$6.02
US$7.52
+24.95%
19.07%US$12.12US$5.98US$4.8718
Oct ’24US$6.50
US$7.55
+16.27%
18.73%US$12.74US$6.12US$5.2318
Sep ’24US$6.33
US$7.59
+20.01%
18.70%US$12.74US$6.22US$5.6018
Aug ’24US$6.13
US$7.61
+24.07%
17.89%US$12.74US$6.32US$5.8119
Jul ’24US$5.66
US$7.70
+36.11%
16.56%US$12.46US$6.61US$5.9919
Jun ’24US$5.82
US$7.67
+31.83%
16.15%US$12.46US$6.61US$6.0621
May ’24US$6.59
US$7.71
+17.10%
15.97%US$12.47US$6.72US$6.3621
AnalystConsensusTarget
Consensus Narrative from 19 Analysts
US$5.87
Fair Value
15.8% undervalued intrinsic discount
19
Number of Analysts

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2025/05/18 04:24
End of Day Share Price 2025/05/16 00:00
Earnings2025/03/31
Annual Earnings2024/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

BP p.l.c. is covered by 83 analysts. 24 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Alexandre AndlauerAlphaValue
William SeleskyArgus Research Company
John EadeArgus Research Company