Stock Analysis

The total return for Ranger Energy Services (NYSE:RNGR) investors has risen faster than earnings growth over the last three years

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Ranger Energy Services, Inc. (NYSE:RNGR) shareholders might be concerned after seeing the share price drop 18% in the last month. But that doesn't change the fact that the returns over the last three years have been very strong. Indeed, the share price is up a very strong 147% in that time. So the recent fall in the share price should be viewed in that context. Only time will tell if there is still too much optimism currently reflected in the share price.

Although Ranger Energy Services has shed US$39m from its market cap this week, let's take a look at its longer term fundamental trends and see if they've driven returns.

Check out our latest analysis for Ranger Energy Services

In his essay The Superinvestors of Graham-and-Doddsville Warren Buffett described how share prices do not always rationally reflect the value of a business. One flawed but reasonable way to assess how sentiment around a company has changed is to compare the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price.

Ranger Energy Services was able to grow its EPS at 43% per year over three years, sending the share price higher. This EPS growth is higher than the 35% average annual increase in the share price. So it seems investors have become more cautious about the company, over time.

The company's earnings per share (over time) is depicted in the image below (click to see the exact numbers).

NYSE:RNGR Earnings Per Share Growth March 16th 2023

We consider it positive that insiders have made significant purchases in the last year. Having said that, most people consider earnings and revenue growth trends to be a more meaningful guide to the business. Dive deeper into the earnings by checking this interactive graph of Ranger Energy Services' earnings, revenue and cash flow.

A Different Perspective

Ranger Energy Services shareholders are down 14% over twelve months (even including dividends), which isn't far from the market return of -12%. Longer term investors wouldn't be so upset, since they would have made 4%, each year, over five years. If the stock price has been impacted by changing sentiment, rather than deteriorating business conditions, it could spell opportunity. I find it very interesting to look at share price over the long term as a proxy for business performance. But to truly gain insight, we need to consider other information, too. For instance, we've identified 3 warning signs for Ranger Energy Services that you should be aware of.

If you like to buy stocks alongside management, then you might just love this free list of companies. (Hint: insiders have been buying them).

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on American exchanges.

What are the risks and opportunities for Ranger Energy Services?

Ranger Energy Services, Inc. provides onshore high specification well service rigs, wireline completion services, and complementary services to exploration and production companies in the United States.

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  • Trading at 90.1% below our estimate of its fair value

  • Earnings are forecast to grow 48.46% per year

  • Earnings grew by 75.6% over the past year


  • Shareholders have been diluted in the past year

  • Large one-off items impacting financial results

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