Stock Analysis

Transocean (NYSE:RIG) Has Debt But No Earnings; Should You Worry?

Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. Importantly, Transocean Ltd. (NYSE:RIG) does carry debt. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?

Advertisement

Why Does Debt Bring Risk?

Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.

View our latest analysis for Transocean

What Is Transocean's Net Debt?

The chart below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that Transocean had US$7.39b in debt in September 2023; about the same as the year before. However, it also had US$594.0m in cash, and so its net debt is US$6.79b.

debt-equity-history-analysis
NYSE:RIG Debt to Equity History January 24th 2024

A Look At Transocean's Liabilities

According to the last reported balance sheet, Transocean had liabilities of US$1.18b due within 12 months, and liabilities of US$8.51b due beyond 12 months. On the other hand, it had cash of US$594.0m and US$552.0m worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities total US$8.54b more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.

This deficit casts a shadow over the US$4.38b company, like a colossus towering over mere mortals. So we definitely think shareholders need to watch this one closely. At the end of the day, Transocean would probably need a major re-capitalization if its creditors were to demand repayment. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Transocean can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

In the last year Transocean wasn't profitable at an EBIT level, but managed to grow its revenue by 4.1%, to US$2.7b. We usually like to see faster growth from unprofitable companies, but each to their own.

Caveat Emptor

Over the last twelve months Transocean produced an earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) loss. To be specific the EBIT loss came in at US$68m. When we look at that alongside the significant liabilities, we're not particularly confident about the company. We'd want to see some strong near-term improvements before getting too interested in the stock. Not least because it had negative free cash flow of US$372m over the last twelve months. That means it's on the risky side of things. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. For example, we've discovered 1 warning sign for Transocean that you should be aware of before investing here.

If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if Transocean might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

Access Free Analysis

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

About NYSE:RIG

Transocean

Provides offshore contract drilling services for oil and gas wells in Switzerland and internationally.

Moderate growth potential with mediocre balance sheet.

Advertisement

Weekly Picks

RO
RockeTeller
SCZ logo
RockeTeller on Santacruz Silver Mining ·

Crazy Undervalued 42 Baggers Silver Play (Active & Running Mine)

Fair Value:CA$8696.7% undervalued
75 users have followed this narrative
7 users have commented on this narrative
21 users have liked this narrative
RO
Robbo
FID logo
Robbo on Fiducian Group ·

Fiducian: Compliance Clouds or Value Opportunity?

Fair Value:AU$121.2% undervalued
13 users have followed this narrative
0 users have commented on this narrative
1 users have liked this narrative
WO
WVVI logo
woodworthfund on Willamette Valley Vineyards ·

Willamette Valley Vineyards (WVVI): Not-So-Great Value

Fair Value:US$245.0% overvalued
11 users have followed this narrative
0 users have commented on this narrative
1 users have liked this narrative

Updated Narratives

NO
S5L logo
Norms70 on Standard Lithium ·

SLI is share to watch next 5 years

Fair Value:€4.57.6% undervalued
1 users have followed this narrative
0 users have commented on this narrative
0 users have liked this narrative
DA
davidlsander
BEAM logo
davidlsander on Beam Therapeutics ·

The "Molecular Pencil": Why Beam's Technology is Built to Win

Fair Value:US$15081.9% undervalued
61 users have followed this narrative
3 users have commented on this narrative
0 users have liked this narrative
RE
PRME logo
RedhawkCC on Prime Medicine ·

PRME remains a long shot but publication in the New England Journal of Medicine helps.

Fair Value:US$0.0469.1k% overvalued
1 users have followed this narrative
0 users have commented on this narrative
0 users have liked this narrative

Popular Narratives

TH
TheWallstreetKing
MVIS logo
TheWallstreetKing on MicroVision ·

MicroVision will explode future revenue by 380.37% with a vision towards success

Fair Value:US$6098.5% undervalued
118 users have followed this narrative
11 users have commented on this narrative
22 users have liked this narrative
AN
AnalystConsensusTarget
NVDA logo
AnalystConsensusTarget on NVIDIA ·

NVDA: Expanding AI Demand Will Drive Major Data Center Investments Through 2026

Fair Value:US$250.3925.9% undervalued
962 users have followed this narrative
6 users have commented on this narrative
25 users have liked this narrative
RO
RockeTeller
SCZ logo
RockeTeller on Santacruz Silver Mining ·

Crazy Undervalued 42 Baggers Silver Play (Active & Running Mine)

Fair Value:CA$8696.7% undervalued
75 users have followed this narrative
7 users have commented on this narrative
21 users have liked this narrative