Phillips 66

NYSE:PSX Stock Report

Market Cap: US$40.3b

Phillips 66 Future Growth

Future criteria checks 3/6

Phillips 66's revenue is forecast to decline at 5% per annum while its annual earnings are expected to grow at 20.1% per year. EPS is expected to grow by 22% per annum. Return on equity is forecast to be 18.2% in 3 years.

Key information

20.1%

Earnings growth rate

22.0%

EPS growth rate

Oil and Gas earnings growth9.7%
Revenue growth rate-5.0%
Future return on equity18.2%
Analyst coverage

Good

Last updated07 Apr 2025

Recent future growth updates

Phillips 66 Just Missed Earnings - But Analysts Have Updated Their Models

Feb 04
Phillips 66 Just Missed Earnings - But Analysts Have Updated Their Models

Recent updates

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room for higher margins

Apr 06Industry Position: Phillips 66 is a major player in the energy sector, particularly in refining, marketing, and transportation. Analysts often look at the company's ability to capitalize on operationa

Elliott Management Applies Pressure With Phillips 66 Board Fight

Mar 26

Phillips 66: Ignore Elliott Management

Feb 25

Phillips 66 Just Missed Earnings - But Analysts Have Updated Their Models

Feb 04
Phillips 66 Just Missed Earnings - But Analysts Have Updated Their Models

Philips 66: Refining Hurts Q4, But Long-Term Value Remains

Feb 01

Phillips 66 Makes An Intelligent Acquisition Of EPIC NGL

Jan 13

Phillips 66: Bottom Fishing At The Bottom Of The Refining Cycle (Rating Upgrade)

Dec 25

Phillips 66: Refiners Are 'Deer In The Headlights' Of Canadian Import Tariffs

Dec 07

Phillips 66: 3.4% Yield, Consistent Dividend Growth, Cheap

Oct 24

Phillips 66 Is Expanding Past Its Refining Roots

Oct 18

Are Investors Undervaluing Phillips 66 (NYSE:PSX) By 44%?

Oct 17
Are Investors Undervaluing Phillips 66 (NYSE:PSX) By 44%?
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Strategically Envisioning A Greener Future Through Innovative Energy Solutions And Financial Resilience

Sep 24 Transition to producing renewable fuels at the Rodeo Renewable Energy Complex aims to meet growing demand for environmentally friendly energy options.

These 4 Measures Indicate That Phillips 66 (NYSE:PSX) Is Using Debt Extensively

Sep 16
These 4 Measures Indicate That Phillips 66 (NYSE:PSX) Is Using Debt Extensively

The Value Of Phillips 66's Midstream Assets Shine Bright In 2024

Aug 01

Investors Aren't Buying Phillips 66's (NYSE:PSX) Earnings

Jul 26
Investors Aren't Buying Phillips 66's (NYSE:PSX) Earnings

Phillips 66: Sell-Off Creates Opportunity, Given Likely Q2 Acceleration (Rating Upgrade)

Jul 12

Returns On Capital At Phillips 66 (NYSE:PSX) Have Hit The Brakes

Jul 11
Returns On Capital At Phillips 66 (NYSE:PSX) Have Hit The Brakes

Phillips 66 (NYSE:PSX) Shares Could Be 39% Below Their Intrinsic Value Estimate

Jun 06
Phillips 66 (NYSE:PSX) Shares Could Be 39% Below Their Intrinsic Value Estimate

We Think Phillips 66 (NYSE:PSX) Can Stay On Top Of Its Debt

May 22
We Think Phillips 66 (NYSE:PSX) Can Stay On Top Of Its Debt

Phillips 66: Turnaround Still Very Much A Work In Progress

Apr 29

Lacklustre Performance Is Driving Phillips 66's (NYSE:PSX) Low P/E

Apr 15
Lacklustre Performance Is Driving Phillips 66's (NYSE:PSX) Low P/E

Phillips 66: Despite A Dividend Hike, Upside May Be Limited (Rating Downgrade)

Apr 04

Phillips 66 Still Has Fuel To Move Higher

Mar 06

The Turnaround Star - Why I See Over 40% Upside For Phillips 66

Feb 12

Phillips 66: Analyzing Activist Elliot Management's $200 Price Target

Jan 24

Phillips 66 Has A Lot More In Store For 2024

Jan 10

Phillips 66's Portfolio Strength Will Continue

Dec 25

Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts

NYSE:PSX - Analysts future estimates and past financials data (USD Millions)
DateRevenueEarningsFree Cash FlowCash from OpAvg. No. Analysts
12/31/2027126,1245,3405,1217,0935
12/31/2026128,9794,8004,8916,7319
12/31/2025134,4382,6234,4655,2308
12/31/2024143,1532,1072,3324,191N/A
9/30/2024147,7383,3582,9335,183N/A
6/30/2024151,8535,1104,2526,736N/A
3/31/2024148,8145,7922,9265,594N/A
12/31/2023147,3997,0044,8747,029N/A
9/30/2023149,4087,6297,3559,589N/A
6/30/2023154,72010,9227,67110,048N/A
3/31/2023168,20712,3928,67410,876N/A
12/31/2022169,99011,0148,92510,813N/A
9/30/2022162,31510,4035,7857,863N/A
6/30/2022147,6035,4165,0276,922N/A
3/31/2022126,0282,5434,9836,882N/A
12/31/2021111,4761,3064,1576,017N/A
9/30/202195,242-5063,0874,856N/A
6/30/202180,948-1,7081,3753,144N/A
3/31/202164,881-2,142-1632,165N/A
12/31/202064,129-3,983-8092,111N/A
9/30/202076,863-2,707-5263,166N/A
6/30/202088,148-1,1963304,337N/A
3/31/2020105,0833691,8045,503N/A
12/31/2019107,2933,0709354,808N/A
9/30/2019107,3304,5733,6647,253N/A
6/30/2019109,8845,3542,6726,173N/A
3/31/2019110,9945,2703,1996,607N/A
12/31/2018111,4925,5894,9347,573N/A
9/30/2018108,7196,547N/A5,365N/A
6/30/2018101,1825,878N/A5,184N/A
3/31/201893,0375,088N/A4,685N/A
12/31/201789,3005,100N/A3,648N/A
9/30/201783,1772,066N/A2,384N/A
6/30/201779,2091,753N/A2,866N/A
3/31/201776,7251,699N/A2,156N/A
12/31/201670,8981,549N/A2,963N/A
9/30/201669,1432,036N/A3,793N/A
6/30/201673,1393,103N/A4,347N/A
3/31/201679,8373,620N/A4,619N/A
12/31/201585,2284,221N/A5,713N/A
9/30/201598,0554,717N/A5,088N/A
6/30/2015112,4124,319N/A4,080N/A
3/31/2015129,1694,169N/A3,483N/A
12/31/2014146,5144,049N/A3,529N/A
9/30/2014154,6403,711N/A3,554N/A
6/30/2014158,5993,052N/A5,074N/A

Analyst Future Growth Forecasts

Earnings vs Savings Rate: PSX's forecast earnings growth (20.1% per year) is above the savings rate (2.8%).

Earnings vs Market: PSX's earnings (20.1% per year) are forecast to grow faster than the US market (13.5% per year).

High Growth Earnings: PSX's earnings are expected to grow significantly over the next 3 years.

Revenue vs Market: PSX's revenue is expected to decline over the next 3 years (-5% per year).

High Growth Revenue: PSX's revenue is forecast to decline over the next 3 years (-5% per year).

Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts

Future Return on Equity

Future ROE: PSX's Return on Equity is forecast to be low in 3 years time (18.2%).

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2025/04/07 12:20
End of Day Share Price 2025/04/07 00:00
Earnings2024/12/31
Annual Earnings2024/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

Phillips 66 is covered by 36 analysts. 14 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
William SeleskyArgus Research Company
Theresa ChenBarclays
Yim ChengBarclays