Stock Analysis

Permian Basin Royalty Trust's (NYSE:PBT) Dividend Will Be Increased To US$0.023

NYSE:PBT
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Permian Basin Royalty Trust (NYSE:PBT) has announced that it will be increasing its dividend on the 14th of December to US$0.023, which will be 66% higher than last year. This takes the annual payment to 2.4% of the current stock price, which unfortunately is below what the industry is paying.

While the dividend yield is important for income investors, it is also important to consider any large share price moves, as this will generally outweigh any gains from distributions. Investors will be pleased to see that Permian Basin Royalty Trust's stock price has increased by 79% in the last 3 months, which is good for shareholders and can also explain a decrease in the dividend yield.

View our latest analysis for Permian Basin Royalty Trust

Permian Basin Royalty Trust Is Paying Out More Than It Is Earning

While yield is important, another factor to consider about a company's dividend is whether the current payout levels are feasible. Prior to this announcement, the company was paying out 98% of what it was earning, however the dividend was quite comfortably covered by free cash flows at a cash payout ratio of only . Given that the dividend is a cash outflow, we think that cash is more important than accounting measures of profit when assessing the dividend, so this is a mitigating factor.

Looking forward, EPS could fall by 9.1% if the company can't turn things around from the last few years. Assuming the dividend continues along recent trends, we believe the payout ratio could reach 106%, which could put the dividend under pressure if earnings don't start to improve.

historic-dividend
NYSE:PBT Historic Dividend November 25th 2021

Permian Basin Royalty Trust's Track Record Isn't Great

The dividend hasn't seen any major cuts in the last 10 years, but it has slowly been decreasing. Since 2011, the first annual payment was US$1.38, compared to the most recent full-year payment of US$0.22. This works out to a decline of approximately 84% over that time. A company that decreases its dividend over time generally isn't what we are looking for.

Dividend Growth Is Doubtful

Given that dividend payments have been shrinking like a glacier in a warming world, we need to check if there are some bright spots on the horizon. Permian Basin Royalty Trust has seen earnings per share falling at 9.1% per year over the last five years. Declining earnings will inevitably lead to the company paying a lower dividend in line with lower profits.

In Summary

Overall, this is probably not a great income stock, even though the dividend is being raised at the moment. The company is generating plenty of cash, but we still think the dividend is a bit high for comfort. We would probably look elsewhere for an income investment.

Investors generally tend to favour companies with a consistent, stable dividend policy as opposed to those operating an irregular one. At the same time, there are other factors our readers should be conscious of before pouring capital into a stock. Just as an example, we've come across 3 warning signs for Permian Basin Royalty Trust you should be aware of, and 1 of them is a bit concerning. We have also put together a list of global stocks with a solid dividend.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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