Stock Analysis

North European Oil Royalty Trust (NYSE:NRT) Will Pay A Larger Dividend Than Last Year At US$0.38

NYSE:NRT
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The board of North European Oil Royalty Trust (NYSE:NRT) has announced that it will be increasing its dividend on the 25th of May to US$0.38. This takes the dividend yield from 2.3% to 4.5%, which shareholders will be pleased with.

While the dividend yield is important for income investors, it is also important to consider any large share price moves, as this will generally outweigh any gains from distributions. Investors will be pleased to see that North European Oil Royalty Trust's stock price has increased by 59% in the last 3 months, which is good for shareholders and can also explain a decrease in the dividend yield.

See our latest analysis for North European Oil Royalty Trust

North European Oil Royalty Trust Is Paying Out More Than It Is Earning

A big dividend yield for a few years doesn't mean much if it can't be sustained. Based on the last payment, North European Oil Royalty Trust's profits didn't cover the dividend, but the company was generating enough cash instead. Healthy cash flows are always a positive sign, especially when they quite easily cover the dividend.

Earnings per share could rise by 0.6% over the next year if things go the same way as they have for the last few years. However, if the dividend continues growing along recent trends, it could start putting pressure on the balance sheet with the payout ratio reaching 115% over the next year.

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NYSE:NRT Historic Dividend May 5th 2022

Dividend Volatility

The company's dividend history has been marked by instability, with at least 1 cut in the last 10 years. Since 2012, the first annual payment was US$2.84, compared to the most recent full-year payment of US$0.47. Dividend payments have fallen sharply, down 83% over that time. Declining dividends isn't generally what we look for as they can indicate that the company is running into some challenges.

Dividend Growth May Be Hard To Achieve

Dividends have been going in the wrong direction, so we definitely want to see a different trend in the earnings per share. However, North European Oil Royalty Trust's EPS was effectively flat over the past five years, which could stop the company from paying more every year. So the company has struggled to grow its EPS yet it's still paying out 101% of its earnings. As they say in finance, 'past performance is not indicative of future performance', but we are not confident a company with limited earnings growth and a high payout ratio will be a star dividend-payer over the next decade.

In Summary

In summary, while it's always good to see the dividend being raised, we don't think North European Oil Royalty Trust's payments are rock solid. The payments haven't been particularly stable and we don't see huge growth potential, but with the dividend well covered by cash flows it could prove to be reliable over the short term. We would be a touch cautious of relying on this stock primarily for the dividend income.

Companies possessing a stable dividend policy will likely enjoy greater investor interest than those suffering from a more inconsistent approach. However, there are other things to consider for investors when analysing stock performance. To that end, North European Oil Royalty Trust has 3 warning signs (and 1 which makes us a bit uncomfortable) we think you should know about. Looking for more high-yielding dividend ideas? Try our collection of strong dividend payers.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.