Stock Analysis

Getting In Cheap On Noble Corporation Plc (NYSE:NE) Might Be Difficult

NYSE:NE
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When close to half the companies in the United States have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") below 15x, you may consider Noble Corporation Plc (NYSE:NE) as a stock to avoid entirely with its 33.2x P/E ratio. However, the P/E might be quite high for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

Noble could be doing better as its earnings have been going backwards lately while most other companies have been seeing positive earnings growth. It might be that many expect the dour earnings performance to recover substantially, which has kept the P/E from collapsing. If not, then existing shareholders may be extremely nervous about the viability of the share price.

Check out our latest analysis for Noble

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NYSE:NE Price Based on Past Earnings March 1st 2023
If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on Noble.

Does Growth Match The High P/E?

The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/E as steep as Noble's is when the company's growth is on track to outshine the market decidedly.

If we review the last year of earnings, dishearteningly the company's profits fell to the tune of 54%. At least EPS has managed not to go completely backwards from three years ago in aggregate, thanks to the earlier period of growth. So it appears to us that the company has had a mixed result in terms of growing earnings over that time.

Turning to the outlook, the next three years should generate growth of 64% per year as estimated by the six analysts watching the company. That's shaping up to be materially higher than the 9.8% per year growth forecast for the broader market.

With this information, we can see why Noble is trading at such a high P/E compared to the market. Apparently shareholders aren't keen to offload something that is potentially eyeing a more prosperous future.

The Key Takeaway

Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-earnings ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.

As we suspected, our examination of Noble's analyst forecasts revealed that its superior earnings outlook is contributing to its high P/E. At this stage investors feel the potential for a deterioration in earnings isn't great enough to justify a lower P/E ratio. It's hard to see the share price falling strongly in the near future under these circumstances.

You need to take note of risks, for example - Noble has 2 warning signs (and 1 which can't be ignored) we think you should know about.

If P/E ratios interest you, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have grown earnings strongly and trade on P/E's below 20x.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if Noble might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.